Kansas City for a Week 7 division duel against QB Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs on Sunday, Oct. 21, 2023. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)Getty Images
The NFL odds and matchups for Week 7 include five division games headlined by the always exciting and entertaining AFC West showcase between the Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) and LA Chargers (2-3). Star quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert have led this high-scoring series in recent seasons with the last five meetings exceeding 50 points including a pair of 3-point wins by the Chiefs last season. The Action Network reports that the Chargers are 7-0 against the spread (ATS) as an underdog of 5 or more points with Justin Herbert at quarterback.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) have a first place battle in the NFC South with the Atlanta Falcons (3-3). The Bucs (18 PPG) and Falcons (16.5) are in the bottom quartile of scoring in the National Football League.
Scoring was certainly a problem last week with historically low-scoring results. Game totals went 2-13 over/under, and only the Dolphins and Jaguars scored at least 27 points for the fewest in any week since the 1995 season. The 23 teams held to 20 points or fewer were the most in any week ever in the NFL. The 10 winning teams that scored 21 points or fewer were tied for the most in any week. That last happened in Week 13 of the 1993 season.
NFL game totals have gone under at a greater than 60% rate this season.
NFL Week 7 Odds
Pro football odds from FanDuel Sportsbook refresh periodically and are subject to change, including on props and live betting. Point spreads listed on favorites.
Cleveland (-3.5) at Indianapolis, Total 40.5
Washington (-3) at New York Giants, 37.5
Atlanta at Tampa Bay (-2.5), 37.5
Buffal0 (-7.5) at New England, 40.5
Las Vegas (-2.5) at Chicago, 37.5
Detroit at Baltimore (-3), 43.5
Pittsburgh at Los Angeles Rams (-3), 43.5
Arizona at Seattle (-8.5), 44.5
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City (-5.5), 47.5
Green Bay (-1.5) at Denver, 45
Miami at Philadelphia (-3), 51.5 – Sunday Night
San Francisco (-6.5) at Minnesota, 44 – Monday Night
Teams with byes this week include: Bengals, Cowboys, Jets, Panthers, Texans and Titans.
Will any of the poor performing teams break through this week? The pathetic Panthers are 0-6 and get to rest and recover. But three teams are 1-5 and play division contests – Cardinals, Giants and Patriots. The latter two are home underdogs, along with the 1-5 Bears and Broncos.
Types of bets and how to read the odds
Bet sure to monitor and follow the NFL weather for each week’s games and note the line moves at the leading online sportsbooks. Stronger winds are projected in Baltimore and in East Rutherford, NJ for the Commanders and Giants division duel.
NFL Week 7 Betting Picks, Tips, Trends and Data
Week 7 betting data is from FanDuel Sportsbook. Playbook Sports adds additional tips and trends with information you can bet on.
The Chicago Bears have lost 10 straight home games, the longest active home losing streak. They are 2-7-1 ATS in those contests.
The Buffalo Bills are favored for the 25th consecutive regular-season game, the longest active streak in the NFL.
The New England Patriots have failed to cover in nine straight games as an underdog, tied for the second-longest ATS losing streak as an underdog in the Super Bowl Era.
Low scoring division duels has been most common the past decade between the Washington Commanders and New York Giants – 17 of the last 20 meetings have gone under the game total.
The Atlanta Falcons have failed to cover in five straight games, their longest streak since 2019. All five ATS losses had point spreads from +3 to -3; same as the Week 7 spread at Tampa Bay (-2.5).
The Detroit Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
The Arizona Cardinals are an underdog for the 15th straight game, the longest active streak in the NFL.
Playbook Sports also points out more technical handicapping tips and trends in the Chargers-Chiefs matchup. Defending Super Bowl champions (KC) coming off a straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) win are 8-18-2 ATS at home in division games the following season against opponents coming off a SU and ATS loss. That includes just 1-9 ATS when the champs sport a greater than .800 win percentage.
FanDuel reports the following spread bets and money (handle) on the most bet teams and Week 7 games as of Friday. Betting data and odds are subject to change as more bets are placed ahead of Sunday’s games.
Buccaneers > 84% of the bets and money vs. Falcons
Browns > 80% of the bets and money vs. Colts
Rams > 80% of the bets and money vs. Steelers
Bills > 75% of the bets and 65% of money vs. Patriots
Lions > 70% of the bets and money vs. Ravens
Raiders > 70% of the bets and money vs. Bears
Seahawks > 63% of the bets and 80% of money vs. Cardinals
Chargers > 60% of the bets and money vs. Chiefs
49ers > 75% of the bets and money vs. Minnesota (Monday Night)
NFL teamsmatchups, odds and props
Follow additional NFL betting newsodds, picks and insight on all the NFL teams as fans look for more scoring, excitment and engagement following last week’s scoring struggles.
You can bet on it.
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I’m a professional sports analyst, better known as “FairwayJay.” I took my bachelor’s degree from the University of Minnesota and left a real estate career to pursue my passions in Las Vegas. I’ve been providing comprehensive and compelling sports and betting information to engage and assist the avid fan for more than 15 years. I’ve authored thousands of articles, and discussed the games on radio and podcast while covering the action and industry from a betting perspective. I enjoy handicapping, writing, researching, reporting and covering the sports, gaming and poker scene from tee-to-green. Coach Vince Lombardi must have been a bettor, as “Winning isn’t everything—it’s the only thing.” Now with the emerging legal sports betting market in the U.S., many millions of American’s can enjoy placing a bet and becoming more engaged in the games. That’s the thrilling and compelling part of the experience. Like getting in the batter’s box or on the tee and taking a swing. I’m here to provide more sports betting and industry coverage, and chip-in information and insight. You can bet on it.
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2023-10-22 00:05:19
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