EThis week was full of strong emotions for Portuguese teams in the Champions League, although the final feeling was quite different for Sporting and Benfica. The Lions beat Paris Saint-Germain in an almost epic fashion, 2-1, at the Alvalade Stadium, while the Eagles ‘flew low’ in Turin, losing 2-0 against Juventus.
At this moment, Rui Borges’ team has 13 points after having played the penultimate round of the league phase of the million-dollar competition, occupying 10th place in the table, although on equal terms with seven other clubs.
The team led by José Mourinho has its European life ‘hanging by a thread’, as Wednesday’s defeat on Italian soil left the Reds in 29th place in the overall standings, with just six points from seven matches played.
With an Athletic Bilbao-Sporting and a Benfica-Real Madrid in sight in the eighth and final round of the single league phase of the Champions League, the Opta supercomputer (a company specializing in the processing of sports data) outlines a different scenario for the two Portuguese teams.
This algorithm indicates that you lions have a 37.4% probability of going directly to the round of 16 of the competitionalthough the The most likely scenario is the playoffs, where 62.6% are expected to play in themwith no chance of getting lost along the way.
The eagles are more likely to be left out than in the competition. This is due to the fact that there are only 27% chance that the Luz club will qualify for the playofftherefore having 73% chance of being removed after the end of all matches in the last roundwhich will be played next Wednesday, January 28th, with the peculiarity that the 18 games will be played at the same time, at 8:00 pm (Mainland Portugal time).
Who qualifies, who goes to the round of 16 and who falls by the wayside?
Outside of these predictions are, from now on, the Arsenal and the Bayern Munichwhich already confirmed their direct passage to the round of 16as well as the Eintracht Frankfurto Slavia Pragueo Villarreal and still the Kairat Almatywhich are already out of any form of football to be eliminated in this season’s Champions League.
However, there are many other calculations to be done, so, according to these projections, the automatically qualified teams that would join Arsenal and Bayern Munich in the round of 16 of the Champions League would be the Liverpoolo Real Madrido Barcelonao Manchester Cityo Paris Saint-Germain and, finally, the Tottenham.
Next, for the playoffswould follow Atlético de Madrid, Sporting, Chelsea, Newcastle, Atalanta, Juventus, Inter, Borussia Dortmund, Galatasaray, Karabagh, Marseille, Bayer Leverkusen, AS Monaco, PSV Eindhoven and yet Napoliclosing the group from ninth to 24th place.
Out of European competitions, the last 12 classified would be left, in this case, Athletic Bilbao, Club Bruges, Benfica, Pathos, They will/Glimt, Copenhagen, Union Saint-Gilloise, Ajaxas well as the aforementioned Eintracht Frankfurt, Slavia Prague, Villarreal and Kairat Almaty.
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