Football Meets Data has delivered its verdict. The day after the second round of CAN 2025, the Fennecs are positioned in the top 3 favorites for the coronation, according to the site specializing in statistical projections.
With an 8.2% chance of winning, Algeria occupies third place in the final victory probabilities established by the statistical model, behind a Morocco arch-favorite (42.8%) and the Senegalsolid runner-up (18.6%). A significant gap, certainly, but which does not erase the renewed confidence displayed by the men of Vladimir Petkovic after two convincing successes against the Sudan and at Burkina Faso.
This return to grace allows Greens to project oneself with ambition, even if the path to the title promises to be strewn with pitfalls. Behind the leading trio, the competition is dense: Tunisia (5,2 %), Egypt (4,1 %), RD Congo (4 %), Nigeria (3.6%) or even Ivory Coast (3,4 %).
In the shadow of probabilities, Fennecs move forward without fanfare, aware that the CAN is not just won on percentages, but also on character, experience and the ability to strike at the right time. Qualities that they demonstrated in the face of Burkina Fasonotably.
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