As the final day of the 2024 Six Nations Tournament dawns, nothing is decided. Ireland, England, Scotland and France can still claim to win the trophy. France 24 summarizes the possible scenarios for each team.
Published on: 03/15/2024 – 5:25 p.m.
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As the Six Nations Tournament concludes on Saturday March 16, four teams can still claim to win the prestigious European trophy: Ireland, England, Scotland, and France.
Only Italy and Wales are permanently excluded from the title race. The two nations will face each other in Cardiff and the Leek XV will try to avoid a humiliating wooden spoon.
Before this last day, Ireland is at the top of the ranking, with 16 points on the clock. England have been hot on the heels of the Clover XV since their victory against them and are 2nd with 12 points. Scotland and France are in 3rd and 4th place respectively, with Chardon ahead of Rooster in the number of tries scored. Focus on the different scenarios.
Ireland is the better placed to transform the test
The XV of Clover has its destiny in its hands. Leaders since the start of the competition, the Irish suffered an unexpected setback following a last minute drop at Twickenham, and are now only four points ahead of their English tormentor. But they only need to win or draw to become the first team to win twice in a row since England (2016-2017)
The club XV wins the Tournament if:
He gets a draw or a win against Scotland He loses with a bonus and England does not win with the attacking bonus He loses without Scotland taking the bonus and France wins without the bonus He loses against Scotland Scotland by less than 38 points and France does not make up its difference in points (+4 for France, +80 for Ireland).
England in ambush
Second in the ranking thanks to its resounding victory against Ireland, England does not have too many questions to ask itself to win the tournament. Give everything to beat France at home and hope for another poor Irish performance.
The XV de la Rose wins the Tournament if:
He wins with the bonus against France and Ireland loses without the bonus He wins without the bonus and Ireland loses by such a margin that England catches up on the points difference (-3 against +80 ).
Scotland can believe it
Third in the ranking, Scotland paradoxically has more in its hands than England. Indeed, she will challenge Ireland at home for the last day. Finn Russell’s teammates can lift their first trophy since 1999 but they must inflict a historic defeat on the Irish in their almost impregnable fortress of the Aviva Stadium. An almost impossible mission… Suffice it to say that the Scots are likely to regret their surprise defeat against Italy on the 4th day for a long time.
The Thistle XV wins the tournament if:
He beats Ireland by at least 38 points and takes the offensive bonus. Ireland must not take any bonus and France must beat England, without taking the offensive bonus and without beating Scotland on points difference.
An improbable scenario to crown France
Mathematically, the French XV can still win the 2024 Six Nations Tournament but the scenario is more science fiction and requires a perfect alignment of the stars.
Failing that, doesn’t the adage say that a successful Six Nations Tournament is a tournament where the English are defeated?
The XV of France wins the tournament if:
He beats England by pocketing the offensive bonus, with a difference in the score which would allow the Blues to cover a very large part of their gap in points difference compared to Ireland (+4 for France, +80 for ‘Ireland). At the same time, Scotland must win in Ireland, with neither team taking the bonus. If Scotland takes the offensive bonus, France must be ahead on points difference (Scotland dominates France in terms of tries scored, the second criterion looked at after points difference in the event of a tie).
