We already have the eight teams that are going to fight to lift the Champions League trophy on June 1 at Wembley in the middle of a cloud of papers and euphoria. But although everyone starts on equal terms for tomorrow’s draw, Friday, not everyone has the same chance of winning it. Once the round of 16 phase is over, it is time to go to the Opta supervisorgive him the name of the eight qualifiers and wait for his verdict.
Real Madrid, Barcelona and Atlético await a rival in the quarterfinals
And from the printed piece of paper that The Analyst offers, an easy conclusion can be drawn: that Manchester City is the top favorite, but as you lower your eyes to continue reading the list, they can pop out of your head. For Opta (for its supercomputer in charge of making the predictions, actually), Barcelona and Atlético de Madrid are the two teams classified for the quarterfinals that have the least chance of winning the title. Less even than the Borussia Dortmund.
Atlético de Madridwith 4.19% options and Barcelona, with 5.38%, are the two teams that are given the least chance of winning the Champions League. He Borussia Dortmund, with 5.62%, is placed above the two Spaniards and the ‘candy’ label is removed from the draw. Above, no surprises. He City has a 32.3% chance of reissuing the title, with the Real Madrid second (16.87%) and the Arsenal third (13.09%). He Mbappé’s PSG is fourth (11.8%), above the Bayern Munich (10.75%).
The draw will change everything
The data, the percentage of probabilities that Opta offers on its page, He is both clean and a liar. The first, because it is read before the draw and reflects the options that the eight teams have at the starting line, under equal conditions. The second, because the percentages will vary as soon as the balls leave the drum. Because it is not the same that you get one team or another and that the road to the final is full of roses or thorns.
It must be remembered that, in addition to the quarterfinal pairings, The semi-final crossing will also be decided in the draw.. So the three Spanish teams will know, in a while, what their path is to Wembley. And that will be the time to redo the accounts and review whether the draw has been benevolent and the options increase… or if innocent hands complicate the dream of ours.
2024-03-14 07:58:19
#Dortmund #Atleti #Barça
