The North Texas Mean Green hope to end their three-game losing streak when they visit the SMU Mustangs in an AAC matchup on Friday. North Texas (3-6, 1-4) won three of four contests before its current slide, which continued with last week’s 37-29 setback against UTSA. The Mustangs (7-2, 5-0) are coming off their fifth consecutive victory, a 36-31 triumph at Rice, but could be without quarterback Preston Stone, who is in concussion protocol. SMU is 35-6-1 all-time against the Mean Green and have won 12 straight meetings at home.
Kickoff at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. The Mustangs are 19.5-point favorites in the latest SportsLine consensus SMU vs. North Texas odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 66.5. Before making any North Texas vs. SMU picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on SMU vs. North Texas and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine to see the model’s CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for North Texas vs. SMU:
SMU vs. North Texas spread: Mustangs -19.5SMU vs. North Texas over/under: 66.5 points
SMU vs. North Texas money line: Mustangs -1110, Mean Green +703SMU: The Mustangs are 4-2 against the spread as favorites this seasonUNT: The Mean Green are 3-0 ATS as road underdogs in 2023SMU vs. North Texas picks: See picks at SportsLine SMU vs. North Texas live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why SMU can cover
The Mustangs have been one of the top offensive teams in the country this season as they rank seventh with an average of 40 points. They’ve been even better during conference play, scoring 45 points per game, and have outscored their opponents by an average of 42.5 points while going 4-0 at home in 2023. It is the second-best home points-per-game margin in FBS, just behind Oregon’s 42.6 mark.
Kevin Jennings will get the opportunity to guide the offense if Stone is not cleared to play against North Texas. A redshirt freshman, Jennings has completed 16-of-20 pass attempts for 190 yards and three touchdowns without an interception in five appearances this year. Whoever is under center will have numerous options at his disposal, as at least seven players have hauled in a pass in every game this season. Senior Jake Bailey leads SMU with 31 catches and 384 receiving yards while fellow wideout Jordan Hudson and tight end RJ Maryland are tied for first on the team with five TD receptions apiece. See which team to pick here.
Why North Texas can cover
The Mean Green have an extremely potent offensive unit as they lead the AAC in total offense (482.3 yards) and scoring (40.0 points), are second in passing (302.1 yards) and rank fourth in rushing (180.2). The aerial attack is guided by Chandler Rogers, who is tied for first in the conference and 11th in the nation with 21 touchdown passes. The junior quarterback, who is second in the AAC with 2,445 passing yards, has made multiple TD tosses in seven of his last eight contests and has been intercepted just three times this year.
Ja’Mori Maclin has formed a strong connection with Rogers as he tops North Texas with 44 catches and 766 receiving yards. The sophomore wide receiver is tied for first in the country with 11 scoring receptions, recording at least one in each of the Mean Green’s first eight games before being blanked last week. North Texas’ ground attack features junior Ayo Adeyi, who is coming off his second straight and fifth overall 100-yard performance of the season, and fellow junior Oscar Adaway III, who has rushed for a touchdown in three of his last four games and ran for 117 yards and a score in last year’s 48-10 loss to SMU. See which team to pick here.
How to make SMU vs. North Texas picks
SportsLine’s model is going Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 76 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins SMU vs. North Texas, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the North Texas vs. SMU spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.
2023-11-10 18:08:15
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