At the end of the long-awaited opening round of the 2023 National Football League season, it’s time to return to one of the coolest topics about fantasy football: trades!
Anyone who thinks that the beginning of the annual trajectory in our game within the game is not a good time to try to make big changes to the squad we have just drafted is very mistaken.
On the contrary: those who can anticipate new trends, detect and avoid exaggerated reactions (or overreactions) resulting from performances outside the curve positively or negatively, in addition to investing in communication skills when proposing a change, generally reaps very valuable rewards in the long term, towards the title of your league.
And that’s exactly what the The Playoffs will try to do, not only in this week 2, but throughout all the others in which the market will be open in fantasy: try to help you identify the best targets to “buy” or “sell” according to performance(s)( s) most recent of the players listed.
Without further ado, let’s look at the names that will open the 2023 season in the trade column!
Photo: Reproduction Twitter/Around the NFL
Running Backs to “buy low”:
Josh Jacobs (LV)
Showing a bit of a lack of rhythm in the game – natural for someone who remained in contractual disputes with the franchise and returned to training a few days before the start of the season – the former number 28 (now 8) of the Raiders continued to completely dominate the snaps and opportunities of touching the ball in Josh McDaniels’ backfield during the win against the Broncos. Therefore, it is to be expected that, as he regains his rhythm, he will return to the top of the rankings and scores among running backs, as was the case last year. Try to take advantage of the atypical score below 10 PPR points to try to incorporate him into your squad until the price rises again.
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET)
Rookie running backs selected in the first round of the NFL Draft tend to produce very well in fantasy. Especially those with top 15 capital, as is the case with the Lions’ new number 26, drafted with the 12th overall pick last April. But it is also common that, in their first games as a professional, they have limited opportunities to touch the ball, which increases throughout the year and usually doesn’t take long to happen. So, try to take advantage of this debut with just 27% of offensive snaps to acquire the rookie as long as the situation invariably does not change. Especially because, in the few chances he had, Gibbs demonstrated enormous explosive potential and hints that he could have a year at least somewhat similar to Alvin Kamara’s as a freshman in 2017, with David Montgomery serving as “Mark Ingram’s double”.
Other RBs to “buy low”: Saquon Barkley (NYG), Kenneth Walker (SEA), Miles Sanders (CAR), Javonte Williams (DEN), James Cook (BUF)
Running Backs to “sell high”:
Aaron Jones (GB)
Don’t get me wrong. Aaron Jones, even a veteran, continues to be one of the best and most efficient runners in the NFL, having, once again, bypassed the poor Chicago Bears of the (torn) heart of this writer. However, don’t expect him to maintain his average of 26.7 PPR points and continue leading the RB position in our game within the game, as nothing seems to have changed in the use of the backfield by Matt LaFleur, who insists on giving snaps and opportunities to the weak AJ Dillon. This circumstance, while it makes perfect sense from the point of view of the franchise’s interests in protecting the health of its main running back – who, even so, felt the hamstring in week 1, albeit without much apparent severity – also makes their statistical performances inconsistent. After all, it’s not every day that he faces a defense from such a poorly trained team. Therefore, involving him in a negotiation for someone with more dominance of opportunities in the backfield and, consequently, less inconstancy, could be a good thing.
Tyler Allgeier (ATL)
Similar to what was explained above in relation to Gibbs and the use of rookies with excellent draft capital in their first games as a professional, Bijan Robinson also did not have the clear majority of opportunities in the Falcons’ backfield throughout Week 1. Still, he has already shown what he is capable of, finishing the round with more than 20 PPR points, which was also the case with his teammate, the good sophomore Tyler Allgeier. It turns out that, although the number 25 tends to remain a good flex option throughout the year, as Arthur Smith has made it even clearer that he will run with the ball as many times as necessary – which makes two relevant running backs viable for the fantasy –, don’t expect such an equal division as was the case last Sunday. Take the opportunity, then, to offer Allgeier as part of a deal until your top 5 position score ranking starts to drop.
Other RBs to “sell high”: Kenneth Gainwell (PHI), Kyren Williams (LAR), Raheem Mostert (MIA), Justice Hill (BAL)
Wide Receivers to “buy low”:
Jaylen Waddle (MIA)
The game against the Chargers ended up being the “Tyreek Hill show”, but don’t expect the statistical disproportion between the former Chiefs and his young teammate to remain so drastic throughout the season, especially as long as Tua remains healthy. Week 1 showed even more evidence that McDaniel’s Dolphins have one of the most prolific and explosive attacks in the league and the unit relies on two clear names: Hill and Waddle, with the rest of the team being very supporting. The 466 aerial yards in the debut show that. So, don’t be scared by Durham Smythe or River Cracraft and enjoy as long as the number 17 doesn’t show why he was selected – precisely (and even cheaply) – in the top 12 for his position.
Tee Higgins (CIN)
Eight targets and zero receptions for 0 PPR points in debut. Victim of an apathetic attack, led by a shot Joe Burrow, feeling the weather factors and the weight of the historical difficulty in beating the division rival Cleveland Browns, Higgins certainly won’t repeat a statistical line like that anytime soon. Because the volume was there. So, try to at least poll virtual GMs possibly concerned about the big zero of the Bengals’ new number 5 until the solid WR top 15 to 20 trend materializes.
Other WRs to “buy low”: Ja’Marr Chase (CIN), Davante Adams (LV), Cooper Kupp (LAR), DJ Moore (CHI), Drake London (ATL), Christian Watson (GB), Terry McLaurin (WAS), Tyler Lockett (SEA), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA), Brandin Cooks (DAL)
Wide Receivers to “sell high”:
Brandon Aiyuk (SF)
Make no mistake: Aiyuk is “for real” and tends to end the year as the best receiver in the 49ers’ great offense. However, the ceiling reached in week 1, of WR2 overall, or even something similar to that, is very unlikely to be repeated, simply because the offensive unit of the red and gold franchise has other great names that should “cannibalize” themselves week by week in the tables. Statistics. And this becomes even clearer when we remember that Kyle Shanahan is great at identifying the weaknesses of opposing defenses, such as the fact that the Steelers, opponents in their debut, use a lot of man-to-man marking, exactly what Aiyuk it goes better. Against defenses that use more zone marking, it is possible, or even likely, that Deebo Samuel will have much more prominence than he had last Sunday. Not to mention George Kittle and Christian McCaffrey. Therefore, it may be a good idea to try to offer the number 11 in a package that brings you a receiver with less competition.
Michael Pittman (IND)
Author of a beautiful and long touchdown against the Jaguars, which greatly inflated his score of 23.7 PPR, Pittman tends to follow the natural inconsistency of his rookie quarterback, even though Anthony Richardson’s debut as a professional was quite encouraging and he is the clear main target of the Colts’ aerial game. Still, it is very difficult to expect him to reach the top 10 WR ceiling presented in the opening round so soon. Time to try to take advantage of the rising price.
Other WRs to “sell high”: Mike Evans (TB), Courtland Sutton (DEN), Jakobi Meyers (LV), Kendrick Bourne (NE)
Tight Ends to “buy low”:
Darren Waller (NYG)
If the performance on the last Sunday Night Football is any parameter, no one on the Giants will be minimally scalable in fantasy throughout the entire year. However, it won’t be every week that Big Blue will face the defense coordinated by Dan Quinn and led by Micah Parsons in a MetLife Stadium punished by torrential rain. With a golden opportunity ahead of them, as they face the Cardinals in week 2, the tendency is for Darren Waller and the Giants to have a game of bounce back. Therefore, there is a good chance to go after one of the tight ends with the highest ceiling for this season, because, not only in the preseason, but in the only drive that Daniel Jones managed to connect with something on Sunday night, it was evident that The number 12 will be your first option in the vast majority of passes attempted.
Other TEs to “buy low”: Mark Andrews (BAL), Pat Freiermuth (PIT), Dalton Kincaid (BUF), Dallas Goedert (PHI)
Tight Ends to “sell high”:
Hunter Henry (NE)
In a week without alphas Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews and an even lower score than normal for the most unpredictable position in our game within the game, nothing more fair than indicating the TE1 of the round as an opportunity to sell on the rise. Even more so when he plays in an attack that doesn’t usually funnel targets to anyone and has competition from newcomer Mike Gesicki.
Other TEs to “sell high”: Cole Kmet (CHI), Hayden Hurst (CAR)
Quarterbacks to “buy low”:
Justin Fields (CHI)
As a Bears fan, am I concerned about their lack of progress as a passer? Terrified – and even more so with the “quality” of Luke Getsy’s play calling. However, choosing to believe that a repeat of the disaster that was the game plan in the debut against Green Bay is not possible, especially in relation to the use of Fields’ athleticism and the recently acquired WR1 DJ Moore, I believe that, at least for fantasy , number 1 doesn’t tend to have any major problems between now and the end of the year. After all, even though he ran little and threw ridiculous screens, he offered a floor above 15 points. Even if the team as a whole is a disaster, as it was in 2022, the projection is that, using the “Konami code” of QB runners, Fields will return to the top 5 ceiling for the position sooner rather than later.
Other QBs to “buy low”: Josh Allen (BUF), Jalen Hurts (PHI), Lamar Jackson (BAL), Joe Burrow (CIN)
Quarterbacks to “sell high”:
Deshaun Watson (CLE)
Boosted by a ground TD in the statistical tables, which made him surpass 20 fantasy points, Watson managed to finish week 1 among the main QBs in the game within the game and ended up masking many problems, especially in relation to the quality and efficiency of the attempted passes. , with the biggest example being the interception thrown at the hands of Dax Hill. Considering that, being older and having remained away from the field for a long time, he does not have the same physical capacity as in his peak days in Houston, in which he produced top 5 seasons in “real life” and in fantasy, the lack of demonstration that he can return to being at least 75% of what he once was, even after a full pre-season with the new team, should be worrying. So, perhaps it would be a good idea to try to take advantage of the rising price in an advantageous negotiation.
Other QBs to “Sell High”: Tua Tagovailoa (MIA), Mac Jones (NE), Jordan Love (GB)
2023-09-13 21:20:00
#trade #targets #week #Playoffs
