The triple is the beginning and end of the Milwaukee Bucks in these 2023 Playoffs and the Miami Heat are going to take advantage of it

He triple is beginning and end in NBA current. It is the key to success and, at the same time, a lock to it. Rare is the case in which today a team can reach the highest levels without having a cast of specialists beyond the arc. So much so that the exceptions confirm the rule. One of those have been Milwaukee Bucks, the only team capable of being crowned as champion in the last five seasons with a percentage below 34.5%, doing so in 2021 with an average of 32.1%. To put in context, that was the lowest data for a winner since the Detroit Pistons of 2004 (30.4%).

Not surprisingly, the best versions of the men of Giannis Antetokounmpo they have come when they have been inspired from a long distance, flowing, finding liberated occasions and imposing their superiority. Without going any further, in the End of 2021 reached 35.8% External precision, not bad.

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For the Bucks, triple irregularity is their great hallmark, which they have learned to manage with some skill, but in these 2023 playoffs are at pretty high risk that I pass bill to them. And the reason lies in his opponent, Miami Heat.

In the case of Milwaukee there is a directly proportional relationship between defeat and a disastrous performance in the outside shot. In the letter era Mike Budenholzer The Bucks have lost three playoff series: in 2019 against Toronto, in 2020 against Miami and in 2022 at the hands of Boston. In these three falls his best record did not exceed 32%:

YearRival%3PT
2019Toronto Raptors31%
2020Miami Heat32,7%
2022Boston Celtics27,9%

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Although in the postseason it is more complex to enjoy successes parallel to those of the Regular Season or to impose their own style with greater comfort, the biggest deficiency of Budenholzer’s Bucks is this, triple:

  • Outside hit in series wins (8): 34,6%
  • Outside success in lost series (3): 30,5%

Erik Spoelstra He is one of the best coaches in the NBA because he knows very well how to influence the opponent’s deficiencies. Just take a look at how in his clashes with Milwaukee he has exposed their problems with scoring from distance, even despite defeat (32.7% in 2021). And in this 2023 things seem to follow a similar script.

24,4%. That was the success percentage of the Bucks in the first game of the current Playoffs against the Miami Heat, in a devastating series of 11 of 45. A fact that became the eighth worst foreign brand for a postseason game with a minimum of 40 pitches.

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How did they do it from Miami? By concentrating all his efforts on protecting the paint, building an insurmountable wall for Giannis (until the injury), even at the risk of allowing free shots to the rest of Milwaukee:

This is not the most revolutionary strategy in the history of the game. It is not even something new, but it may be the only option available to the Miami Heat to surprise and win the tie. The higher the volume, the more risk that a rival will punish you for taking that path. However, Spoelstra is convinced that by increasing rival attempts from triple the low percentages will benefit them.

“Right now it’s all about winning by any means necessary,” recognized Spoelstra after the victory in the first game.

Of all the possible scenarios there is only one in which the Miami Heat can win and that is by exploiting the biggest deficiency of the Milwaukee Bucks as it is the triple.

The opinions expressed herein do not necessarily represent those of the NBA or its organizations.

2023-04-19 08:07:00
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