The time of the definition is approaching, the Libertadores opens the doors to date six of the group stage. From here on, the candidates for eternal glory on the continent will be known, who will go to South America for consolation and those who will finish the year in terms of participation at the international level.
In the case of Junior from Barranquilla, he has already secured his place in Sudamericana, with six units, against the two in Santa Fe, who will not have any chance. The duel that will be played in Ecuadorian territory represents a lot for the Barranquilleros. A victory can ensure them, in the round of the last 16.
And it is that the accounts, the mathematics, the difference goal and the visiting goals can enter to play, all, in favor of Amaranto Perea’s, the classification seems closer, but it is at Junior’s feet.
The group is currently led by River Plate with nine units, followed by Fluminense with eight, the goal difference for both is +2 and +1 both meet on the last day at the Monumental de Núñez stadium, being a direct duel. They are obliged to win to make sure in the next round.
Junior is obliged to beat Santa Fe, taking into account the following possible scenarios, in case one of them occurs, the ‘shark’ will have reached the round of 16. It should be noted that the eleventh of Amaranto Perea will not be served by the tie, this will leave him with the quota for Sudamericana. If the Barranquilla’s triumph is by two goals or more, they must expect a defeat in Buenos Aires.
Defeat of River Plate
In case he is the ‘millionaire’, the loser at home, everything will be defined by the difference goal. If Fluminense wins 0 to 1 and Junior against Santa Fe, by the same score, Barranquilleros and Argentines would tie with +1 in the first item, which would lead to the second tiebreaker item, which are the goals scored, in that case, they are currently matched with six goals each. According to this, Junior would surpass the ‘crossed band’ in the goals scored. Junior’s triumph, whatever the result, would give them the step to the next phase.
Defeat of Fluminense
If Fluminense loses against River at the Monumental and Junior wins by any result, they will automatically displace the Brazilians. The Colombians would reach nine units, against the eight of the Flu.
Equality between River Plate and Fluminense
The other possible scenario is the tie in Buenos Aires, if it happens, the injured party will be Fluminense, who would reach nine points, the same as Junior in an eventual victory. The goal difference for the Brazilians is +1, in that case, the Barranquilla players must win by two goals difference or more, to break the position.
If Fluminense and River equal by more than one goal, the pass will be for the Brazilians, as long as Junior only defeats Santa Fe by one goal, breaking the box with the goals scored in favor.
In case of ending in zero in Núñez, everything will be defined by the fourth tiebreaker item, which are the goals in favor scored on the road, taking into account that in points, goal difference and goals in favor are tied. Currently Junior and Fluminense have three goals scored in foreign territory, Junior’s goal in Ecuador against Santa Fe would give them a ticket to the second round.
The possible scenarios will depend on the victory of the Amaranto Perea team against Santa Fe. It should be noted that the venue for the game will be Ambato, Ecuador, a city located 2,580 meters above sea level.
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