Polls Show Spanish Right Leading Ahead of General Elections

Spain’s conservative Partido Popular leads preference surveys with 31.0 percent support ahead of the November 29 snap general elections, according to polling data published by lexpress.fr.

If the vote were held today, Alberto Núñez Feijóo’s party would secure between 131 and 137 seats in the 350-seat Congress of Deputies. Meanwhile, the far-right Vox party stands at 19.4 percent, translating to 62 to 70 seats.

A separate survey conducted by SocioMétrica and published by El Español mirrors those findings, giving the Partido Popular 32 percent of the vote and 136 seats. That same survey places Vox at 18.9 percent with 66 seats, doubling the 33 seats the party won during the 2023 elections.

Combined, the two right-of-center formations would command roughly 200 seats in the chamber. That total clears the 176-seat threshold required for an absolute majority in the Spanish parliament.

Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s Partido Socialista Obrero Español trails in second place with approximately 25 percent support, which would yield 101 to 108 seats. Surveys indicate that the broader investiture block that previously sustained Sánchez in power would drop to 145 total deputies, a loss of 34 seats compared to the 2023 results.

Sánchez moved the legislative elections forward from 2027 following the parliamentary defeat of two emergency housing measures in early October. His administration has also faced intense political pressure following the October 28 Urda train disaster that resulted in 69 deaths and the subsequent November 3 resignation of Transport Minister Óscar Puente.

Despite the projected parliamentary majority for the right, party leaders have not guaranteed a joint administration. Alberto Núñez Feijóo stated in an interview with El País that a single-party Partido Popular government is the best outcome for Spain.

Feijóo acknowledged policy differences with Vox on issues such as abortion, national priority principles, and respective stances regarding Donald Trump. The official campaign period launches ahead of the November 29 polling date.