Ligue 1 Predictions: Final Ranking After Transfers – Opta

The halfway point has passed, as has the winter transfer window, it is now the final stretch in Ligue 1.

The winter transfer window closed this Monday evening. The squads are now complete for the last six months of the season. At the end of the 20th day of Ligue 1, Opta’s artificial intelligence updated its forecasts concerning the final ranking of the championship.

Paris Saint-Germain, leader with 48 points after their difficult victory in Strasbourg (1-2) despite the expulsion of Achraf Hakimi, has a 94.02% chance of winning the title according to Opta calculations. The Parisians are two points ahead of RC Lens, winner of Le Havre (1-0), and nine points ahead of Olympique de Marseille and Olympique Lyonnais.

An Olympic match for the podium

Behind PSG, the battle for the qualifying places in the European Cup promises to be close. RC Lens has a 65.11% probability of finishing second. For third place, Olympique Lyonnais (38.27%), winner of Lille (1-0), is slightly ahead of Olympique de Marseille (37.30%), clinging to Paris FC after leading 2-0 (2-2). LOSC Lille, plunged into a difficult period, retains a 33.47% chance of grabbing the podium despite its current fifth place.

At the bottom of the ranking, FC Metz appears to be the big favorite for relegation with a 51.62% probability of finishing in 18th and last place. FC Nantes (34.71%) and AJ Auxerre (28.75%) are also in danger according to projections, despite their draw (0-0) on Saturday.

AS Monaco, defeater of Rennes (4-0), and FC Lorient, late winner in Nantes (2-1), maintain more favorable prospects with respectively 19.67% and 20.14% chances of finishing in their current position.

What the final Ligue 1 ranking will be according to Opta

Paris Saint-Germain = 94.02%
RC Lens = 65,11 %
Olympique Lyonnais = 38.27%
Olympique de Marseille = 37.30%
LOSC Lille = 33.47%
RC Strasbourg = 24,92 %
Stade Rennais = 20.89%
Toulouse FC = 19,23 %
AS Monaco = 19,67 %
FC Lorient = 20.14%
Stade Brestois 29 = 18.91%
SCO Angers = 20,08 %
OGC Nice = 21,50 %
Paris FC = 22,38 %
Le Havre AC = 21.00%
AJ Auxerre = 28.75%
FC Nantes = 34.71%
FC Metz = 51.62%

Marcus Cole

Marcus Cole is a senior football analyst at Archysport with over a decade of experience covering the NFL, college football, and international football leagues. A former NCAA Division I player turned journalist, Marcus brings an insider's understanding of the game to every breakdown. His work focuses on tactical analysis, draft evaluations, and in-depth game previews. When he's not breaking down film, Marcus covers the intersection of football culture and the communities it shapes across America.

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