Head to the mildness and sunshine of Florida for this Dolphins – Buccaneers prediction. A 100% Florida clash between a team already eliminated and another looking to take the title of its division.
Since the end of week 16, concluded with a defeat against the Cincinnati Bengals, the Miami Dolphins (6-9) are officially eliminated. An elimination which sounds more like a confirmation than a surprise as the start of the season was disastrous. Despite a clear recovery in form since the middle of the season, the Dolphins remain too limited to really compete for the playoffs. In addition, the offseason promises to be turbulent in the waters of Miami. Because the Tua Tagovailoa case seems far from being resolved and a departure of the Hawaiian quarterback seems more relevant than ever.
Among the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8), the sense of urgency is starting to be felt. In a sense, Mike Evans’ teammates still have their destiny in their hands. If they win the last two remaining games, they will be able to keep their NFC South division throne. But be careful! A misstep this Sunday combined with a Panthers victory would officially eliminate the Buccaneers from the playoff race. The urgency is therefore to find the path to success for this Tampa Bay team which has accumulated poor performances in recent weeks.
Our Dolphins – Buccaneers prediction
Our Dolphins – Buccaneers prediction: More than 16.5 yards rushing for Rachaad White at 1.82 on Betclic
It’s a rather daring choice for this Dolphins – Buccaneers prediction! Risky because we are not going to choose the performance of the number 1 running back of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Bucky Irving, but that of his counterpart Rachaad White. A choice first dictated by the weakness of the Dolphins’ running defense. Miami players have the 7th worst defense in the NFL against the run. All accompanied by a total yards allowed of 130.3 yards per game. A boon for Buccaneers runners
So why choose White rather than Irving. Quite simply because the bookmakers seem to be undervaluing Tampa Bay’s number 2 runner. At this time, French bookmakers place the cut for Rachaad White’s performance at just 16.5 yards in this match. Over the Buccaneers’ last 10 games, White has reached the 20-yard mark for at least 9 games. Including against defenses like San Francisco or New England. Much better defenses than Miami. On average, White has 8 rushing attempts per game. It would therefore be enough for him to run two yards per carry to pass this bet.
Finally, let’s not neglect the potential changes during the second half for the Buccaneers. The NFC South franchise will undoubtedly play a final for the division in week 18. If it leads largely in this match, the coach could decide to rest his key players so as not to take any risks. A situation which would lead to a lower performance for Irving and a greater use of White.
Odds and probabilities of victory
According to bookmakers’ odds, the Buccaneers have a 74% chance of winning in this match. The Dolphins, although at home, only have a 26% chance of triumphing.
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Dolphins – Buccaneers: trends and key figures
Before making your Dolphins – Buccaneers prediction, here are some numbers and trends to know:
- The Miami Dolphins lost their last 2 matches played
- The Miami Dolphins have conceded at least 28 points in their last 5 defeats
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost 6 of their last 7 matches played
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers scored at least 20 points in 7 of their last 8 matches
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won the last three direct confrontations between the two teams
- L’over points has passed during the last 4 direct confrontations between the two teams
Dolphins – Buccaneers: the injury report
Miami Dolphins
| Player | Later | Injury | Training status | Status for the match |
| Minkah Fitzpatrick | FS | calf | Did not participate | Out |
| Isaiah Johnson | CB | Knee | Did not participate | Out |
| Benito Jones | DT | Of the | Did not participate | Out |
| Dee Eskridge | WR | Toe | Did not participate | Doubtful |
| Aaron Brewer | C | Cou | Limited participation | Questionable |
| Tyrel Dodson | LB | Chest | Full participation | Questionable |
| Andrew Meyer | OL | Triceps | Full participation | Questionable |
| Jason Sanders | K | Hip | Limited participation | Questionable |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| Player | Later | Injury | Training status | Status for the match |
| Calijah Kancey | DL | Pectorals | Limited participation | Out |
| Anthony Nelson | LB | Knee | Did not participate | Out |
| Tristan Wirfs | T | Toe | Did not participate | Out |
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Photo credit: © Kim Klement-Imagn Images
