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Broncos vs. Broncos Predictions and Odds Chiefs: 2025 Christmas NFL ‘Thursday Night Football’ picks from a proven model
The 2025 NFL Christmas schedule ends with a battle of AFC West “Thursday Night Football” teams in a surprising position as the Kansas City Chiefs host the Denver Broncos. The Broncos (12-3) lead the entire AFC and are chasing the No. 1 seed in the NFL playoffs. Meanwhile, Kansas City was eliminated from the playoffs. Kansas City is starting Chris Oladokun at quarterback after losing Patrick Mahomes and Gardner Minshew to knee injuries in consecutive weeks. Chiefs LB Nick Bolton (illness) is listed as questionable. Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The latest Broncos vs. Chiefs odds have Denver favored by 13.5 points, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. Meanwhile, the over/under for total points scored is 38.5, which is a 2-point increase from the opening of 36.5. Denver is -1,064 on the money line (risk $1,064 to win $100). Before making any choice between Chiefs vs. Broncos, check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine projection model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has valued well over $7,000 for $100 players on the NFL’s highest-rated picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 with a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anyone following their NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and betting sites could have seen strong returns. Now, the model has its eye on Chiefs vs. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds and trends for Broncos vs. Broncos. Chiefs: Broncos vs. Chiefs spreadDenver -13.5 at DraftKings SportsbookBroncos vs. an underdog since the 2021 season, so it’s a huge number of points for the Chiefs, especially at home. Kansas City has been decimated by quarterback injuries but still has the star power of tight end Travis Kelce, offensive lineman Chris Jones, receiver Xavier Worthy and others. Even in the midst of a lost season, they will be highly motivated to avoid defeat at the hands of their division rivals in the national spotlight. Denver is just 2-5 against the spread on the road and has just two double-digit wins this season. The Broncos are also coming off a poor performance against the Jaguars, losing 34-20 despite being 3.5-point favorites in that Week 16 matchup. See which team to bet on at SportsLine. Why the Broncos Can CoverDenver has more to play for, as the Broncos have a clear path to first place on the AFC side of the NFL playoff bracket. The Broncos already beat the Chiefs 22-19 last month, and that was when Kansas City had Mahomes and was still in contention, so a much bigger margin could be at play in this one. The Chiefs are just 5-10 overall this season against the spread. They are also just 1-7 ATS against quality opponents (teams that win 55% or more of their games) and 0-7 ATS against teams that give up less than 21 points per game. Denver ranks fifth in the NFL in scoring defense (19.7 ppg), fourth in the NFL in total defense (291.6 ypg) and leads the league in total sacks (63) by a wide margin, making life extremely difficult for a quarterback with virtually no experience. See which team to bet on SportsLine. How to make choices between Chiefs vs. Broncos SportsLine’s model simulated Broncos vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and are under the total, projecting 36 combined points. It also says that one side of the spread hits 60% of the time. You can only make your choice at SportsLine. So who wins Broncos vs. Broncos? Chiefs and which side of the spread hits 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to pick, all from the advanced model that has netted more than $7,000 on its NFL picks since its inception, and find out.
Published: 2025-12-25 23:55:00
source: www.cbssports.com
