The success of theAtalanta in Europa League makes the scenario of six Italian teams in the next one concrete Champions League. Five have already qualified, the sixth would be there Roma which will have to wait at least until next Sunday. The condition now is that Atalanta does not finish the championship in the top 4.
How many Italian teams in the Champions League
At the moment there are 5 teams qualified for the Champions League. Inter will go in the first tier, Juventus and Atalanta in the second, Milan in the second or third, Bologna in the fourth. Atalanta were already qualified from the championship, being certain of finishing in the top five anyway, but are now also qualified by right as holders of the Europa League. The mechanism is simple: next year Italy will have a bonus place in the Champions League thanks to the best seasonal ranking. This place will be added at the end of each competition, after the fate of each team has been determined.
Normally, Italy has 4 places in the Champions League. If a team wins the Champions League or the Europa League but finishes in the top 4, it does not free up a place. However, if he finishes in fifth place or lower, he is automatically added to the group of qualified teams. And this is what applies to Atalanta: if they finish in the top 4, they do not free up a place, but if they are fifth or worse, they are added to the top 4 teams qualified from the championship. Only at this point does the extra place for Italy come into play: if there are only 4 qualifiers, the bonus place goes to the fifth in the championship. If 5 qualify (4 plus Atalanta as holders of the Europa League), the bonus place goes to the sixth.
What Roma need to go to the Champions League
Atalanta’s victory over Bayer Leverkusen therefore keeps the sixth-placed team, Roma, in the running. De Rossi’s team cannot finish either fifth or seventh: their match in Empoli on the final day will be irrelevant. If until today Roma were rooting for Atalanta, now they will have to root against them. And at the same time he will have to cheer for Juventus, historic rivals, and Bologna.
At the moment Juventus and Bologna are third with 2 points on Atalanta. Genoa-Bologna is played on Friday, Juventus-Monza on Saturday, Atalanta-Turin on Sunday. On June 2nd there is the Atalanta-Fiorentina recovery match.
Roma can qualify on Sunday if:
– Bologna and Juventus win, Atalanta doesn’t win. In this case the Nerazzurri slip to -4, with a recovery still to be played
– Juventus wins or draws, Bologna draws, Atalanta loses: in this case Atalanta goes -3 from fourth place, can reach Bologna at 69 but has lost both direct clashes, and would be fifth even in one tied at 69 with Juventus and Bologna (Bologna 8 points, Juventus 4 points, Atalanta 2).
Atalanta, on the other hand, is ahead of Juventus on overall goal difference in the event of a draw between two teams.
How many Italians in the Europa League?
The Roma if he is not in the Champions League, he will play in the Europa League.
The Lazio it cannot finish sixth, it will finish behind Roma: it lacks one point for seventh place and the Europa League, being +6 on Fiorentina but with unfavorable direct comparisons. They can finish eighth if they lose against Sassuolo and Fiorentina win in Cagliari and then in Bergamo in injury time on 2 June.
Fiorentina goes to the Europa League if they win the Conference League: the final against Olympiacos in Athens on May 29th. Otherwise he will return to the Conference with eighth place.
If Fiorentina wins the Conference League
What happens if Fiorentina wins the Conference League? Automatically qualifies for the Europa League. And the fate of Turin and Naples, who are currently in ninth and tenth place in the standings, will also depend on the Viola’s result.
If Fiorentina wins the Conference League and Atalanta does not finish in the top four, Italy will have the top 6 teams in the Champions League, two more in the Europa League (Lazio seventh and Fiorentina holders of the Conference) and one in the Conference League.
If instead Fiorentina wins the Conference League but Atalanta finishes in the top four, Italy will have 5 places in the Champions League and 3 in the Europa League: Roma and Lazio plus Fiorentina, holders of the Cup. The ninth will go to the Conference League. Obviously all this applies if Fiorentina does not finish seventh in the championship, an eventuality which as we have seen is residual.
If Fiorentina does not win the Conference League, and Atalanta vacates sixth place in the Champions League, we will have: Rome in the Champions League, seventh in the Europa League (Lazio), eighth in the Conference League (Fiorentina, Naples or Turin).
If Fiorentina does not win the Conference and Atalanta does not vacate the sixth place in the Champions League, we will have: 5 Italians in the Champions League, two in the Europa League (Rome and Lazio), plus the eighth in the Conference League (Fiorentina, Naples or Turin) .
2024-05-22 22:17:00
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