Craving Jake Burger: A Fantasy Baseball Analysis

If you’re not in the mood for a burger after reading this, you might be vegan, although that has as much to do with food as a colonoscopy. Now you know what I’ve been craving since I made Jake Burger the subject of this week’s column (the burger, not the colonoscopy).

Burger began the 2023 season with the White Sox, the team that made him a first-round draft pick in 2017.

Although he broke out with his power numbers, hitting 25 homers and driving in 52 runs in his first 88 games, his .214 average and 102 strikeouts in 323 plate appearances looked more like an Adam Dunn impression .

During that span, he had the sixth-highest strikeout rate and fifth-worst on-base percentage among players with a minimum of 300 plate appearances.

Jake Burger #36 des Marlins de Miami Getty Images

In August, however, Burger was surprisingly traded (he’s controllable for another five years) to Miami, and that’s where his season got really interesting.

In 53 games with the Marlins, he increased his average from .214 to .250 after hitting .303 with nine home runs, 28 RBIs, 27 runs scored and an .850 OPS.

Yes, there has been a noticeable decrease in its energy production. He went from 7.7 percent of his strikeouts to just 4.2 percent. Sure, the new stadium could have been a factor — Guaranteed Rate Field is a haven for righties, LoanDepot Park not so much — but there’s more to it than just the venue.

Burger reduced his strikeout rate from 31.6 percent with the White Sox to 21.7 percent with the Marlins (which actually started during his final month in Chicago when he reduced his strikeout rate at stick more than 5 percent).

His contact rate increased by almost 4 percent and his zone contact rate increased by almost 5 percent. His line drive rate improved nearly 6 percent and his flyball rate dropped nearly 8 percent.

Does this mean Burger is now a contact hitter and his power is gone? Not at all, his power is legitimate.

According to Statcast, Burger ranked in the top 1 percent in the league (seventh overall) in maximum exit velocity (118.2 mph).

His average exit velocity of 91.9 mph ranked 25th and his hard hit rate (49.6%) was 24th. His barrels per plate appearance percentage (10.7) ranked seventh and his flyball/linear exit velocity (97.8 mph) was sixth.

Don’t doubt its power!

You should, however, doubt his .303 average after the trade. His .354 BABIP indicates luck was on his side, so it’s more likely he’ll get closer to the .250 mark he finished the season with (he’s a career .251 hitter).

There’s more to love about Burger.

He has a good chance of being Miami’s cleanup hitter (or, at the very least, hitting in the middle of the order), which should provide plenty of RBI opportunities.

He hit .282 with four homers and 10 RBIs when he reached third last year, .320 when he reached fourth and .275 with 11 homers, 27 RBIs and a .942 OPS when he reached the fifth.

Perhaps the best thing about Burger is his average position of 161.88, according to Fantasy Alarm. He’s drafted about 90 spots below Alex Bregman (77.25) – who hit .262 with 25 home runs, 98 RBIs, 103 runs and an .804 OPS – and more than 70 spots below Nolan Arenado ( 89.33) – who hit .266 with 26 homers, 93 RBIs, 71 runs and a .774 OPS.

In 141 games last year, Burger hit .250 with 34 home runs, 80 RBIs, 71 runs scored and an .806 OPS. If you’re missing top third basemen, like Jose Ramirez, Austin Riley, Rafael Devers, Gunnar Henderson or Royce Lewis, there’s no reason to settle for players like Bregman or Arenado when you can have similar production of a player of seven or eight rounds. later.

Tasty burger! Sorry, I meant: Target Burger!

Jake Burger hit 34 home runs in 141 games last year. Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Guide to Madness

Special Preview Project

Part 3 of 5

Roto Rage Jarad Wilk ranks corner infielders. Next week: starting pitchers.

First base

1. Freddie Freeman, DAL

2. Matt Olson, Atlanta

3. Bryce Harper, Phi

4. Pete Alonso, New York Times

5. Vladimir Guerrero, Tor

6. Paul Goldschmidt, StL

7. Christian Walker, Ari

8. Cody Bellinger, ChC

9. Triston Houses, Bos

10. Josh Naylor, key

11. Spencer Steer, Californie

12. Nathaniel Lowe, Texas

13. Christian Encarnacion-Strand, Cin

14. Spencer Torkelson, Detective

15. Yandy Diaz, RB

16. Alex Bohm, Phi

17. Nolan Jones, Colonel

18. Vinnie Pasquantino, KC

19. Ryan Mountcastle, Bal

20. Salvador Pérez, KC

21. Anthony Santander, Bal

22. Josh Bell, Mia

23. Rhys Hoskins, Mil

24. José Abreu, Hou

25. Justin Turner, Tor

26. Brandon Drury, LAA

27. Ty France, Mer

28. Luis Arraez, Mia

29. Anthony Rizzo, New York

30. Jeimer Candelario, Cin

31. Alex Kirilloff, Min

32. Joey Meneses, was

33. Andrew Vaughn, SCF

34. Ryan Noda, China

35. Isaac Paredes, TB

36. Mark Canha, detective

37. Luke Raley, Mer

38. Kyle Manzardo, Key

39. Elehuris Montero, Colonel

40. Carlos Santana, Min.

41. C.J. Cron, FA

42. Patrick Sagesse, ChC

43. Wilmer Flores, SF

44. Jake Cronenworth, SD

45. LaMonte Wade, SF

46. ​​Mark Vientos, New York

47. Kike Hernández, LAD

48. J.D. Davis, S.F.

49. Nolan Schanuel, LAA

50. Seth Brown, Chêne

51. Garrett Cooper, FA

52. Brandon Belt, FA

53. Gio Urshela, detective

54. Joey Gallo, was

55. Ramon Urias, Bal

Third base

1. José Ramírez, Clé

2. Austin Riley, Atlanta

3. Rafel Devers, Bos

4. Gunnar Henderson, Bal

5. Royce Lewis, Min

6. Manny Machado, SD

7. Elly De La Cruz, China

8. Josh Jung, Texas

9. Alex Bregman, Hou

10. Nolan Arenado, StL

11. Jake Burger, Mia

12. Spencer Steer, Californie

13. Nolan Gorman, StL

14. Noelvi Marte, Cin

15. Ha-Seong Kim, SD

16. Max Muncy, DAL

17. Ke’Bryan Hayes, Pit

18. Elehuris Montero, Colonel

19. Jordan Westburg, Bal

20. Junior Caminero, TB

21. Maikel Garcia, K.C.

22. Alex Bohm, Phi

23. Jorge Polanco, Mer

24. Matt Chapman, SF

25. Ryan McMahon, Colonel

26. Jeimer Candelario, Cin

27. Eugene Suarez, Ari

28. Wilmer Flores, SF

29. Luis Rengifo, LAA

30. Chris Taylor, DAL

31. Isaac Paredes, TB

32. Jared Triolo, Fosse

33. Patrick Sagesse, ChC

34. Gerald Perdom, Ari

35. DJ LeMahieu, New York

36. Jon Berti, Mia

37. Josh Rojas, Mer

38. Bretty Baty, New York

39. Willi Castro, Min

40. Mark Vientos, New York

41. Curtis Mead, tuberculose

42. Yoan Moncada, SCF

43. J.D. Davis, S.F.

44. Kike Hernández, LAD

45. Zach McKinstry, Detective

46. ​​Jordan Diaz, Oak

47. Gio Urshela, Detective

48. Luis Urias, Mer

49. Ramón Urias, Bal

50. Andruw Monastery, Mil

51. Nicky Lopez, SCF

52. Matt Vierling, Detective

53. Jean Segura, Clé

54. Michael Busch, ChC

55. Kyle Farmer, Min

Team Name of the Week

Vaughn in 60 seconds

2024-03-10 11:55:31
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