As is customary, in the first stage of Major League spring training, pitchers and catchers are the first to join to their respective casts, For that reason, on this occasion we will analyze what one of the most important Venezuelan pitchers of the recent generation could do, we are referring to Germán Márquez and the prediction he receives from from the prestigious numerical data and study portal, Baseball Reference.
Let us remember that Last May the Colorado Rockies right-hander had to undergo the famous Tommy John surgery due to acute discomfort in his pitching elbow, pSo his possible return would be scheduled for the second half of the following season.
On the aforementioned website they do not foresee outstanding performance as such, very interesting in some sections, especially considering the medical process he experienced, as well as improvements in other preponderant statistical lines.
For them, Germán Andrés will be on the mound for about 88 innings, to win about 5 games, lose another 6, he will give up around 86 hits, 13 home runs, he will incur 30 bases on balls, which would leave his earned run average allowed at 4.70, at 1.31 the whip, at 8.8 his average of hits received per 9 sections, 1.3 will be the average for home runs, 3.1 will be the average for walks and 8.2 will be the average for strikeouts.
Certainly the projected effectiveness is of a poor category, but in the case of the Bolivarian it would represent an improvement compared to the one achieved in the previous 2 years, when it was 4.95 in 181.2 episodes and 20 last year; In this case, his advance would be 5.1%, although a decline of 6.6% compared to his lifetime ERA of 4.41.
This would be the variations for Márquez:
Category 2022 Variation Lifetime Variation
whip 1.36 3.7% better 1.28 2.34% lower
H9 9.2 10.9% better 8.9 1.14% better
HR9 1.5 13.3% better 1.2 8.3% lower
BB9 3.1 Same 2.7 14.81% lower
SO9 7.4 10.81% better 8.7 6.09% lower
2024-02-17 10:43:58
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