16 the one, 2024, 07:00 ET
Only two of the spread betting favorites managed to cover their lines in the first round of the postseason
The first games of the initial phase of the postseason concluded, and the locals won five of the six duels of the Wild Card Round; los Dallas Cowboysundefeated all year in their backyard, were the only team that exposed their fans to defeat in their faces.
However, it was the teams that took the field as underdogs on the spread betting lines – and those who bet on them – that emerged victorious over the weekend: only two of the six Spread betting favorites from the weekend managed to cover their differences in points.
Beaten by the Buccaneers, the Eagles were very far from covering their -3 line as favorites in Tampa Bay. Julio Aguilar/Getty Images
What happened this weekend should not surprise anyone. Historically, the disadvantaged have performed very well in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs, with a 20-10 record in spread betting since 2017, according to data from ESPN Stats and Information.
Additionally, teams underdogs in spread betting have won their games on 13 of those 30 occasions, prior to this weekend’s six games, with at least one winning in each of the previous six years.
Now, let’s add the weekend’s numbers to that historical record.
Los Cleveland Browns They opened the action starting as -2.5 favorites at the home of the Houston Texans. In this case, not only were the Texans in spread betting with ease, thanks to a score of 45-14, but they also continued the streak of at least one underdog in spread betting winning their duel directly. That would be the theme for the rest of the weekend. Additionally, and thanks largely to the two interceptions thrown by Joe Flacco which were returned by Houston until the touchdown, the Texans They alone covered the over/under of 44.5 points.
In the next game, also on Saturday, the Kansas City Chiefs They fulfilled their spread of -4.5 by beating the Miami Dolphins by 26-7. The weather conditions not only prevented Miami offer a competitive product Arrowhead Stadiumin general, but also caused multiple dropped passes for the locals Chiefs. The score was relatively far from the over/under of 43.5.
Editorial Selections
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Sunday’s first game saw the Green Bay Packers dismantle favorites Cowboys (-7) in the AT&T Stadiumrealizing the biggest surprise of the Wild Card Round. As we noted above, the Cowboys They were the only local team that did not know how to make their home weigh, in addition to dallas set the record for the most points received in a postseason duel in its history. The final score of 48-32 covered the over/under of 50.5 without major problems.
On Sunday night, the Detroit Lions They had a dream night, scoring their first playoff win in more than three decades by beating Los Angeles Rams by 24-23. However, those who bet on the Lions to cover the -3 spread were disappointed by the final score when, with more than four minutes left, Detroit took possession of the ball to squeeze out the game clock, instead of looking for one last score that would allow them to cover the margin. In addition, the teams fell far short of covering the over/under of 51.5 expected for the match.
In the first meeting on Monday, the Pittsburgh Steelers They were overwhelmed by the Buffalo Bills in a Highmark Stadium unearthed from the snow, a few hours after a lake effect storm prevented the game from taking place on Sunday, its first scheduled day. With a 31-17 victory, the Bills without much difficulty covered a line of -10, the widest among the six games of the Wild Card Round. In the same way, the over/under of 35.5 was surpassed with relative ease.
Finally, the Philadelphia Eagles They traveled as the second favored visiting team in spread betting, after the Brownsof the six of the Wild Card Roundappearing with a -3 in the house of Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Los Bucs Not only did they cover the spread, but they took the victory directly, adding three teams to do so as underdogs on the weekend, along with the Texans y Packers. The final score of 32-9 fell short of the over, with a figure set at 43.5 for that proposition.
Thus, three of the six games covered the highs, and three remained in the lows for the over/under lines. But, the underdogs in spread betting went 4-2 in the current Wild Card Roundleaving them 24-12 in the first round of the postseason since 2017.
First look at Divisional Round betting lines
SpreadOver/underLínea de dineroHouston Texans+9.0 (-110)O 45.5 (-110)+320en Baltimore Ravens-9.0 (-110)U 45.5 (-110)-420Green Bay Packers+10.0 (-110)O 50.5 (-105)+380en San Francisco 49ers-10.0 (-110)U 50.5 (-110)-500Tampa Bay Buccaneers+6.0 (-110)O 48.5 (-110)+220en Detroit Lions-6.0 (-110)U 48.5 (-110)-270Kansas City Chiefs+3.0 (-120)O 45.5 (-110)+125en Buffalo Bills-3.0 (even)U 45.5 (-110)-145Líneas de apuestas cortesía de ESPN BET, vigentes al 15/01/2024
All betting lines used were published by ESPN BET.
2024-01-16 12:00:00
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