Analysis of Euro 2024 Seeding and Potential Group Stage Draw for the French National Team

A priori, the Blues are safe. At the end of an almost perfect qualifying campaign with 7 victories and a draw, they are logically seeded for the draw for Euro 2024 which will take place this Saturday at 6 p.m. at the Elbphilharmonie in Hamburg. The composition of pot 1, where they appear, allows us to better understand the pitfalls that Didier Deschamps’ gang will avoid during the group stage.

All the favorites, from Portugal to England, including Belgium and Spain, are among the top seeds who have never lived up to their name so well since they clearly demarcate the teams that can believe in the coronation final to others. In fact, the French team is likely to be rather well off even if everything is not equal.

Best draw

Albania – Slovenia – Luxembourg or Kazakhstan

If fate favors the French team, pot 2 could offer Albania. The 59th nation in the world has only participated in one major international competition, Euro 2016, where France beat it (2-0) in the group stage. In pot 3, paradoxically more challenging, Slovenia is the least formidable opponent on paper. Jan Oblak’s selection will only play its third international competition. In the last pot, only 50% of the casting is known since the play-offs have not yet taken place. Among the play-offs, Luxembourg and Kazakhstan, crushed 7-0 in 2022, look like Tom Thumb if they get through the last qualifying phase.

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Worst draw

Denmark – Croatia – Italy

Let me be clear, even the worst draw will not remove the Blues from their favorite status. If France were to appear in the group of death as in 2021 (France, Germany, Portugal, Hungary), it would contain Denmark, semi-finalist of the last Euro, Croatia, in the last four of the last two European Cups. world, and, of course, the defending champion, Italy. Donnarumma and his teammates are the real scarecrow of hat 4 and the team to avoid at all costs.

Federico Chiesa celebrates a goal during Italy – North Macedonia, in qualifying for Euro 2024

Credit: Getty Images

The composition of the hats

Germany
France
Portugal
Spain
Belgium
England

Hungary
Türkiye
Romania
Denmark
Albania
Austria

The Netherlands
Scotland
Croatia
Slovenia
Slovakia
Czech Republic

Italy
Serbia
Suisse
Poland, Estonia, Wales or Finland
Israel, Iceland, Bosnia-Herzegovina or Ukraine
Georgia, Luxembourg, Greece or Kazakhstan

Where to watch the draw?

It will be broadcast live at 6 p.m. this Saturday on TMC and W9. You will also be able to follow it live with commentary on our site.

2023-12-01 22:49:00
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