Storyline to watch: Cincinnati’s defense is going up against one of the NFL’s best quarterbacks. Buffalo’s Josh Allen leads the league in Total QBR (77.1) and completion percentage (71.7%) and ranks third with 17 passing touchdowns entering Sunday’s game. The Bengals are on a three-game winning streak, and their defense has improved. Since Week 5, they rank sixth in opposing Total QBR (40.4) and are first in turnovers forced per drive (22.9%). — Ben Baby
Stat to know: Allen has been extremely difficult to bring down when pressured, posting the second-lowest sack rate in the league. The Bengals’ defense will look to change that Sunday; Cincinnati ranks 12th in pressure rate this season.
Matchup X factor: Bengals CB Mike Hilton. With his deployment on slot pressures, the Bengals can manipulate the Bills’ protection schemes to create open pass-rushing lanes for Hilton to disrupt the pocket. — Bowen
What to know for fantasy: Running back Joe Mixon and the Bengals’ running game are positioned to have success against a Bills defense that has allowed the eighth-most rushing yards and 12th-most fantasy points per game. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their past four games, tied for their longest ATS losing streak in the past 40 seasons. Their last five-game ATS losing streak was in 1976-77 (six straight).
Moody’s pick: Bengals 33, Bills 30
Walder’s pick: Bills 27, Bengals 23
FPI prediction: BUF, 66.9% (by an average of 5.9 points)
2023-11-04 16:01:32
#Game #Predictions #Bills #Bengals
