After the October break for the national team’s training camp, we know that Poland’s chances of directly qualifying for the European Championships are rather illusory and only a combination of a few lucky events could have prevented the White and Reds from playing in the play-offs. The We Global Football profile calculated after the match against Moldova (1:1) that the Polish national team had 2.9 percent. chances for direct promotion to Euro 2024. Who can the team led by Michał Probierz play in the play-offs? At this point, it looks like the worst possible scenario. Why?
Watch the video The unsinkable representative of Poland. “Absolutely. I’m so appreciative.”
Very bad news for Poland. A possible hit in the play-off semi-finals
Teams from divisions A, B and C of the Nations League are guaranteed participation in the European Championship play-offs if they did not manage to advance directly to the tournament. This group already includes the Polish national team, which played in the A division of the Nations League. Currently, there are three teams from the A division that are not yet certain to advance, so this group will be joined, at least for now, by Estonia from the D division. Estonia will form one semi-final play-off pair with the best team in the A division, and the second and third teams from division A will form the second pair.
At this point, Estonia would face Croatia, and Poland would play in the final of the play-offs against Italy. This is the result of Italy’s defeat against England at Wembley (1-3), which allowed the hosts to advance to the tournament. Additionally, the Italians were overtaken in the table by Ukraine, which won 3-1 against Malta and has a three-point advantage over Luciano Spalletti’s team. These teams will meet in November in a direct meeting in the last round of qualifying, and Ukraine’s win will ensure that the Italians will definitely play in the March play-offs. Before that, however, Italy will play against North Macedonia (November 17). Ukraine has already played seven matches.
However, it is worth noting here that both Croatia and Italy still have a chance to directly advance to the European Championships, so a lot may change in the context of the Poles’ rivals in the play-offs after the November matches. Croatia now has the same number of points in Group B as Wales (10 points each), and in November they will play in the qualifiers against Latvia (18/11) and Armenia (21/11). So the play-offs for Poland may turn out to be a bit easier (but they don’t have to be at the moment).
The history of Poland’s matches with Italy may not be a positive one, as the last five matches included two draws and three wins for the Italians. The last victory of the Poles took place in November 2003 in a sparring at the Legia Warszawa stadium, when the White and Reds won 3-1 after goals by Jacek Bąk, Tomasz Kłos and Jacek Krzynówek. Antonio Cassano scored the only goal for Italy.
The semi-finals of the Euro 2024 play-offs will take place on March 21, 2024, and the finals will be played five days later.
2023-10-17 21:37:00
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