This midweek NFL tilt between the Titans and Cowboys is mired in uncertainty on the Tennessee side, as star running back Derrick Henry (hip) remains uncertain about adapting as of this writing. lines. This has resulted in a limited list of player accessories available for the Titans, while the questionable tag on Dallas rusher Tony Pollard (thigh) has also reduced offers on that side.
Fear not, because there are still a few value bets worth making among the prop bets available. Here’s what we’re targeting at BetMGM before Thursday night:
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CeeDee Lamb on 69.5 receiving yards (-115, BetMGM)
It’s like few people are talking about this ridiculous season for Lamb, who ranks seventh among all receivers in receptions (91) and eighth in receiving yards (1,207). It’s gotten even more spectacular over the past few weeks, and its price is too low to ignore here.
As of Week 10, the Cowboys star ranks second in the league in receiving yards per game (93) with more games under 100 receiving yards (four) than under 70 yards ( of them). He’s looked virtually unstoppable the past two weeks, rushing for at least 120 yards on seven-plus catches in each as Dak Prescott’s top option.
Now he faces a Titans pass defense that ranks 31st in yards allowed per game (279.6) and has no real corner stop to contain Lamb. I’m surprised bettors would hang such a low number on a wide superstar who shows no signs of stopping.
Dak Prescott on 0.5 thrown interceptions (-115, BetMGM)
I love to bet on interceptions thrown week after week because bettors find it difficult to fairly gauge the likelihood of a volatile event. And I particularly like the value here on Prescott, who struggled mightily to keep the ball out of opponents’ hands.
How could you not love Over’s value after what we’ve seen from him this season? The Cowboys passer ranks fifth in interceptions thrown (12) and has thrown at least one in eight of his 10 starts, including each of his last five. It’s no coincidence – Prescott just doesn’t take good care of the ball, especially under increased pressure like what he saw last week against the Eagles (six sacks).
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The Titans’ defense is midway in forced interceptions, but they rank 10th in haste rate (7.9%) and have generated three interceptions in their last three games. At essentially coin toss odds, I like their chances of keeping Prescott’s interception streak alive.
Micah Parsons Under 4.5 tackles combined (+120, BetMGM)
I don’t know what bettors have in mind with that number, which Parsons has only reached six times in 15 starts (40%) this season. And we can get the other side with more money? Sign me up!
This is not a reflection on Parsons’ talent; far from there. The Cowboys’ all-around linebacker still ranks fifth in sacks (13), fourth in forced fumbles (three) and ninth in tackles for loss (14), proving why he’s one of the best defensemen in the league . As for regular tackles, though? That’s not his forte, ranking just 135th in combined tackles (62) with just 4.1 per game.
He’s recorded less than five tackles in five of his last six games, and now he’s dealing with a hand injury that probably won’t sideline him, but could affect his ability on Thursday, especially in as a tackler. At plus-money odds, it looks like a steal.
