We blink and we are already in week 4 of the NFL, friends and friends who practice the best fantasy game on the planet!
It’s still too early to think that a 3-0 team is already guaranteed in the postseason, as nothing is lost for someone who started 0-3. However, it is essential to pay attention to the increasingly consolidated trends and the clues given by the defenses regarding their strengths and weaknesses when defining the lineup of your squad.
But before we get down to business, a few important clarifications are needed: superstars like Lamar Jackson, Saquon Barkley, Cooper Kupp and Mark Andrews will not be mentioned as they are pretty obvious choices.
In addition, the tips are simple: the hot ones are those players who, for this round, have favorable matchups to score very well. The cold ones are the exact opposite: those who tend to score few points or a lower score than what is expected as an average of such players, at least this week.
In addition, there is a record that the tips are based on the scoring format that left the old “standard” behind, consolidated itself as the most popular and is now the standard on all the main platforms: the PPR, which is the one that assigns one point per reception.
READ MORE:
+ Swap tips: week 4
+ Waiver wire: week 4
Photo: Reproduction Twitter/Cordarrelle Patterson
hot quarterbacks
Jared Goff (Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks) – Commanding a fun Detroit attack, the number 16 currently has a scoring average that puts him in the top 12 of his position, as QB1 for fantasy. Playing at home, as a favorite, against a weak defense from Seattle and in a game with an interesting score expected by the bookmakers (48), Goff becomes a good option for those who are streaming or struggling with the quarterback slot. As icing on the cake, the veteran has the “God of the Sun” Amon-Ra St. Brown, who, despite the last-round scare, is not expected to be out due to injury.
Tom Brady (Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs) – Coming from a worrying set of games, the GOAT has everything to finally take off on the statistical tables. After all, it is expected that it will be necessary to let go of the arm to follow the offensive power of Patrick Mahomes and company on Sunday Night Football. It also helps – and a lot – the fact that it will have the return of Mike Evans, Julio Jones and, who knows, Chris Godwin. There is also the possibility that the game will be transferred to the neutral field of US Bank Stadium, in Minnesota, due to the passage of Hurricane Ian through Florida, a circumstance that could leave the game even more open.
Other hot QBs: Joe Burrow (CIN vs MIA), Tua Tagovailoa (MIA @ CIN), Jameis Winston (NO vs MIN – in London)
cold quarterbacks
Justin Fields (Chicago Bears @ New York Giants) – To the absolute sadness of this one who writes to you, the second year has left a lot to be desired, both on and off the field, with worrying and inelegant statements about Bears fans. A major reflection of this is that Matt Eberflus’ coaching staff seems convinced in practically banning shirt 1 from passing the ball – a decision that, unfortunately, has many reasons to be and the two interceptions thrown against the Texans in the last round prove it. Therefore, even with the ability to produce with his legs – always an interesting factor in fantasy – it is absolutely impossible to trust Fields at this moment, whatever the opponent.
Carson Wentz (Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys) – The Carson Wentz experience continues to show all its facets. After two great opening weeks, shirt 11 was below 10 fantasy points against the Eagles in the third round. Once again involved in a divisional confrontation, this time away from home and against the defense very well coordinated by Dan Quinn – and captained by the monster Micah Parsons –, it is difficult to climb Wentz with confidence.
Other cold QBs: Ryan Tannehill (TEN @ IND), Baker Mayfield (CAR @ NYG), Jimmy Garoppolo (SF vs LAR)
Running Backs quentes
Cordarrelle Patterson (Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns) – You have to give your arm to twist: “Grandpa” plays a lot of ball! Even at 31 years old and only in his second season as running back, shirt 84 continues to silence critics and have an absurd use of yards per carry: a surreal 8.29 in week 3 and an average of 5.94 in season so far. By hosting the Browns in a very low favoritism game for the visitors (1.5 points) and with a surprising combined score expected of 49.5 by bookmakers, Patterson should continue to reward the GMs who gave him their vote of confidence.
Dameon Pierce (Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers) – The trend continues: The Chargers just can’t contain the opposing ground game, which was wide open in Week 3, with James Robinson and Travis Etienne having the party in LA. In addition, the California franchise arrives for this game with many important absences on both sides of the ball, which should make Lovie Smith and company look to make a lot of use of the rookie who has gradually established himself as owner of the backfield, bringing an average above 60% of the snaps in the last two games, with 20 carries in the third round.
Other hot RBs: Jamaal Williams (DET vs SEA), Javonte Williams (DEN @ LV), AJ Dillon (GB vs NE)
Running Backs frios
JK Dobbins (Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills) – It’s still too early to trust the talented third year. The injury suffered by him on the eve of the 2021 season was very serious and this was very clear in his debut for the Ravens last week. The franchise, careful as it has always been, is dosing opportunities to shirt 27. And these opportunities should be even more scarce in the most anticipated game of the round, in which two MVP candidate quarterbacks must set the pace much more by air than by land. .
Damien Harris (New England Patriots @ Green Bay Packers) – In addition to failing to surpass the 40% mark of snaps in all games so far, the shirt 37 has had to deal with the rise of teammate Rhamondre Stevenson, who has been playing more offensive series, including the most valuable: those involving the RB in passing situations. Too reliant on touchdowns to score well in fantasy, Harris now has another worrying factor to his disadvantage: the fact that Brian Hoyer has taken over the quarterback position due to Mac Jones’ injury, further lowering already low expectations for the offense. New England. And the situation gets even worse when the opponent is the strong Green Bay Packers away from home.
Other cold RBs: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (KC @ TB), Darrell Henderson (LAR @ SF), Nyheim Hines (IND vs TEN)
hot wide receivers
DK Metcalf (Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions) – After two discreet rounds, the wide receiver-shaped colossus appeared in Week 3 with a great game against the Falcons. Leaving for another favorable matchup, this time against the Lions, who, despite having done a good job against Justin Jefferson in the previous round, are still having a lot of problems to contain receivers, as was the case with Thielen and Osborn for the Vikings, Metcalf has everything to keep the momentum going and give back to whoever decides to cast him in this fourth round.
Chris Olave (New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings – em Londres) – leader in air yards (or yards per attempted pass in his direction) in the NFL so far, a circumstance that demonstrates how well his style of play matches that of his QB Jameis Winston, the rookie exploded to 23.7 fantasy points in the last round. Tending to continue benefiting from a greater volume of targets resulting from the probable absences of Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry, injured, the shirt 12 has one more chance to remain among the leaders of his position in a match that should be very busy on Sunday morning. .
Other hot WRs: Tee Higgins (CIN vs MIA), Diontae Johnson (PIT vs NYJ), Rashod Bateman (BAL vs BUF)
Wide Receivers frios
DJ Moore (Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals) – One of the biggest disappointments in fantasy football at the start of 2022, shirt 2 has the red warning light flashing incessantly next to his name at this moment. As long as Baker Mayfield does not show signs of improvement and creates a modicum of chemistry with the main and highest paid receiver of the Panthers roster, it is very difficult to trust Moore, despite the somewhat interesting opponent he faces this week.
Allen Robinson (Los Angeles Rams @ San Francisco 49ers) – Another big disappointment at the start of the season, shirt 1 is far from the expectations of those who expected numbers similar to those of OBJ in 2021, another veteran who occupied the WR2 position in Sean McVay’s attack. That is unlikely to change in a likely truncated game between divisional rivals Monday night: that’s just 42 total points expected by bookmakers.
Other cold WRs: JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC @ TB), Darnell Mooney (CHI @ NYG), Jerry Jeudy (DEN @ LV)
Tight Ends quentes
Tyler Conklin (New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers) – Owner of excellent utilization, the ex-Viking has played more than 95% of the snaps and received a nice slice of targets – close to 20% of the Jets’ air attack, exactly the one that most passed the ball this season so far. With the exception that the change of quarterback – Zach Wilson returns in place of Joe Flacco – can generate reflexes in this scenario, the shirt 83, even so, becomes a beautiful option of volume against the depleted defense of the Steelers.
Other hot TEs: Dawson Knox (BUF @ BAL), Robert Tonyan (GB vs NE), Tyler Higbee (LAR @ SF)
Tight Ends frios
Albert Okwuegbunam (Denver Broncos @ Las Vegas Raiders) – Main victim of the dysfunction presented by the attack of Nathaniel Hackett and company so far, Albert O has already made it clear that he will hardly live up to the hype placed around him at the time of fantasy drafts. With the number of snaps that has only declined since the debut so far, there is simply no way to have any confidence in betting on shirt 85, whatever the opponent.
Other cold TEs: Austin Hooper (TEN @ IND), Irv Smith (MIN @ NO – em Londres), Hunter Henry (NE @ GB)
hot defenses
New York Giants (vs Chicago Bears) – Counting on the return of their interesting young edge rusher duo for the second straight game, the Giants defense gets a one-dimensional offense with a putrid offensive line and a quarterback who threw twice as many interceptions as touchdowns in the first three weeks, making making it one of the highest earning fantasy points. Climb with confidence.
Other hot defenses: Philadelphia Eagles (vs JAX), Green Bay Packers (vs NE), Dallas Cowboys (vs WAS)
cold defenses
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (vs Kansas City Chiefs) – Despite showing great performance so far, the defensive unit led by Todd Bowles faces Patrick Mahomes without favoritism according to the bookmakers. This must be respected, in addition to the chance that it will not have the important home factor, due to the possibility of transferring the match to Minnesota, as explained above.
Other cold defenses: Miami Dolphins (@ CIN), Buffalo Bills (@ BAL), Baltimore Ravens (vs BUF)
hot kickers
Younghoe Koo (Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns) – Even without a perfect performance in the season so far, the veteran continues to have opportunities due to the low efficiency of his attack in converting snaps in the red zone into touchdowns, in addition to being able to hit shots from the most varied distances. In this week 3, he has another good chance to put points on the scoreboard, in a game with almost 50 total points expected by bookmakers.
other hot kickers: Evan McPherson (CIN vs MIA), Daniel Carlson (LV vs DEN), Graham Gano (NYG vs CHI)
cold kickers
Greg Joseph (Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints – em Londres) – Lame in recent weeks, shirt 1 missed two shots in the last round. Adding that to the Vikings’ lackluster kicking record, it’s hard to trust Joseph, even with him playing at Tottenham Stadium.
Other cold kickers: Riley Patterson (JAX @ PHI), Brandon McManus (DEN @ LV), Mason Crosby (GB vs NE)
