There are six dates left to finish the qualifying round for the World Cup in Qatar, Colombia is in the direct classification zone and has a couple of key games, this Thursday against Brazil, and next Tuesday against Paraguay.
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Colombia is fourth in the Positions table with 16 points and 0 in goal difference. It is one point behind Ecuador, third, and beats Uruguay on goal difference (-3). The Charruas are in the repechage zone.
Reinaldo Rueda’s team has three games ahead of them at home and another three as visitors.
The ‘magic number’ to go to Qatar
Reinaldo Rueda, coach of the Colombian National Team.
Nathalia Aguilar. Efe
Today, six dates to the end of the play off, the ranking ‘magic number’ fell to 25 points. The trend has been declining according to the latest results.
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This figure is taken taking into account that it is the maximum reached by the fourth and fifth, which are Colombia and Uruguay, winning their three remaining home matches. If they win, they make 25, and the position would be defined by goal difference.
One hundred percent of the 18 qualifying matches against Qatar are 54 points. At the moment the fourth, Colombia, in 12 games and 16 units, has a 44 percent performance compared to the 36 points that have been played. Brazil, the leader and only classified, leads 93 percent at the moment, with one game less.
The trend is the same for Colombia and Uruguay. In other words, although today the ‘magic number’ is 25 plus goal difference, the best thing to do is aim for 26. That is, Colombia would need 38.5 percent of the points to reach the number it needs.
Colombia’s obligation
Thus, the obligation that the team has is to get nine points out of nine at home, an aspect that would leave it with 25 units.
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In three of the last five qualifying rounds, this sum (with a good goal difference) was enough to secure a place in the playoffs.
That is, it is time to defeat Paraguay (November), Peru (January) and Bolivia (March) in Barranquilla. And to qualify directly, he would have to do 26, that is, scratch on the outside against Brazil, Argentina or Venezuela.
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