EFinally things really start! After the preliminary round, which brought some drama with it, although 16 of 24 teams made it to the round of 16, the round of 16 games are now up. Maneuvering is no longer possible. Win or lose. Advance or end. The teams don’t have more options on the way to the final at Wembley. The first two games are on this Saturday. The EM forecast by Daniel Memmert and Fabian Wunderlich uses a calculation model based on the betting market to predict who will win and with what probability.
First (6 p.m. in the FAZ live ticker for the European Football Championship, on ARD and MagentaTV), Wales, which finished second in Group A, will meet Denmark, which has only one win but two defeats and the drama of Christian Eriksen in Group B prevailed, also in second place. Now both teams meet in Amsterdam. And the Danes have a 68.3 percent chance of winning. Accordingly, 31.7 percent speak for the Welsh people.
The roles are even more clearly distributed in the game afterwards (9 p.m. in the FAZ live ticker for the European Football Championship, on ZDF and on MagentaTV) in London. Italy prevailed in Group A with three clean sheet wins. Austria finished second in Group C, after all with two successes. But now the end of the line threatens. The Italians have a 79.2 percent chance of progressing. Therefore, only 20.8 percent speak for the Austrians around David Alaba. So it looks like it’s glowing azure in the quarterfinals.
And what do I do with my knowledge now? The best thing to do is to try your luck in the EM prediction game on FAZ.NET. There are prizes worth a total of 8,000 euros to be won.
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