Let's try to make that clear: We are all happy that Nathan Eovaldi is back at the Red Sox. The Red Sox are a big market team with a lot of money that can afford to pay the players too much. And the Eovaldi contract should not prevent Red Sox from doing business in the future.
But if we talk about it value – and use historical compositions – Eovaldi is now clearly overpaid.
If you missed it, Eovaldi agreed on Thursday with a $ 67.5 million four-year contract that would earn him an average of $ 16.875 million per season. In the current economic climate of baseball, this is a reasonable amount for someone planning a starter in the middle of the rotation. The problem is that Eovaldi has not really been like that until now in his career. So what the Red Sox is about is the future.
And that's good.
However, let us not deceive you about what Eovaldi was up to this point in his career: A journeyman who had great resources, but never had the ability to produce constantly. Since starting his career in 2011, Eovaldi went from 44.13 with an era of 4.16 in 850 innings. Since most of the gains and losses can be a product of running support, we focus on the two most important assets – ERA and innings.
We use the totals of Eovaldi for innings (850) and ERA (4.13) as the center and set the parameters for pitchers from 2011-2018 with between 800 and 900 innings and ERA between 4.00 and 4.25. With the help of baseball-reference.com we have created the following list:
Let's examine the salaries of these players purely for the sake of argument. We have given each player the highest annual AAV (average year value) as well as their largest contract. We found the following:
|Highest AAV||Biggest contract|
|Hector Santiago||8 million US dollars||1 year / 8 million dollars|
|Brandon McCarthy||$ 12 million||4 years / 48 million US dollars|
|Aaron Harang||$ 9.125 million||4 years / 36.5 million US dollars|
|Miguel Gonzalez||$ 5.9 million||1 year / 5.9 million US dollars|
|Dillon Gee||$ 5.3 million||1 year / $ 5.3 million|
|Kevin Gausman||$ 5.6 million||1 year / $ 5.6 million|
|Mike Fiers||$ 6 million||1 year / 6 million dollars|
|Scott Feldman||$ 10 million||3 years / 30 million US dollars|
|Nathan Eovaldi||$ 16,875 million||4 years / 67.5 million US dollars|
|Jorge De La Rosa||$ 12.5 million||2 years 25 million US dollars|
OK, so you see, what are we talking about? In the list above, nobody is near Eovaldi – neither in terms of AAV nor in terms of contract duration and value. And when we add up everything Of the deals for all but Eovaldi we have nine players, 18 years and 170.3 million US dollars. That's an average of $ 9.5 million per season.
Translation: For the nine other players on the list, the average deal is two years and about $ 19 million.
Eovaldi received four years and $ 67.5 million.
Can anyone honestly say that the Red Sox did anything but overpay?
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