Santiago de Cuba meets Las Tunas in Serie Nacional baseball action on Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2026, with an upcoming start time scheduled for 21:30 UTC.
Forebet reported that analytical models place Las Tunas as clear favorites with a 74 percent win probability ahead of the fixture. The projection anticipates a high-scoring affair with roughly 13.96 total runs, breaking down to an expected 9.11 runs for Las Tunas and 4.84 runs for Santiago de Cuba.
That projection builds on a dominant run by Las Tunas, who captured nine victories in their last ten outings while allowing an average of just 4.2 runs per game. By contrast, Santiago de Cuba enters the matchup carrying a 4-6 record across their previous ten contests, yielding 8.5 runs per contest during that span, according to data outlined by smoance.com.
Head-to-head history also favors the visiting side in recent meetings. Las Tunas holds seven wins in their last ten head-to-head encounters against Santiago de Cuba. However, the teams last met on Oct. 19, 2025, when Santiago de Cuba secured a 16-7 victory.
Las Tunas Offensive Output Exceeds Santiago De Cuba Defensive Stability
Las Tunas maintained momentum through early November 2026, with victories against Guantanamo. Their offensive output has averaged 9.7 runs per game over their last ten fixtures, anchoring the statistical edge recognized by predictive models.
Santiago de Cuba experienced a more volatile stretch, posting a 4-6 record over their last ten games. Their schedule included a series against Camaguey in early November alongside earlier October matchups versus Holguin and Granma. Defensive struggles have inflated their opponents’ scoring environment to 14.3 combined runs per game in recent weeks.
Head-to-Head History
Past meetings between the two Serie Nacional rivals frequently feature high offensive totals. Across their last ten direct confrontations, Las Tunas emerged victorious seven times, while Santiago de Cuba claimed three wins. The historical head-to-head average sits at 20.8 total runs per game.
Inning-by-inning projections for the Nov. 11 meeting anticipate scoring activity early, with Las Tunas modeled to put up 1.2 runs in the first inning and 1.6 runs in the second frame. Santiago de Cuba’s projected scoring peaks in the sixth inning with 1.5 expected runs.
Match Status Remains Unconfirmed Before Scheduled Start
Match status has not been confirmed live, and the scheduled start remains ahead.
