Joe Burrow surged to the front of the NFL MVP betting market, claiming the top spot after a four-touchdown performance against the Atlanta Falcons at the Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, MARCA reported.
Playing before a crowd of 78,600 spectators in the Spanish capital, the Cincinnati Bengals quarterback completed 24 of 29 pass attempts for 271 yards and three scores without an interception. He also added a one-yard rushing touchdown as the Bengals secured a 34-17 victory for their fourth straight win, improving their record to 6-2.
Sportsbook 1XBET adjusted its odds following the Madrid showcase, installing Burrow as the new MVP favorite at 2.85, which implies roughly a 35% probability. Just one week prior, Burrow sat tied with Brock Purdy and well behind Josh Allen in the market.
Through the first eight games of the season, Burrow is on pace for 5,070 passing yards, 49 touchdowns, a 74% completion rate, and a 114.8 passer rating. By comparison, the last MVP, Matthew Stafford, finished with 4,707 passing yards and 46 touchdown passes.
MARCA reported that Burrow drives nearly the entire Bengals offense, with only two offensive touchdowns this season coming from players other than him.
His top targets continue to thrive alongside him, as Ja’Marr Chase posted 10 receptions for 155 yards and a touchdown in Madrid, while Tee Higgins added two scoring catches. The primary concern for Burrow remains his physical health, given that a wrist injury cut short his 2023 season after just 10 games.
Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills dropped to second in the MVP odds at 3.4, representing an implied probability of about 29%, according to MARCA. Allen entered Week 9 as the clear market leader after returning from his bye week with a 36-10 victory over Baltimore.
MARCA noted that Allen remains the most complete candidate, holding the highest Pro Football Focus (PFF) rushing grade among quarterbacks alongside a league-leading 8.8 yards per pass attempt. The margin between Allen and Burrow remains narrow.
Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers occupies the third spot at 5.5, an 18% implied probability. Purdy held the top position during the early weeks of the season, and his current odds reflect expectations that the 49ers will finish with one of the best records in the league.
Jordan Love is fourth at 7.5, translating to a 13% implied probability. MARCA reported that Love has made the sharpest climb in recent weeks, and at mid-season he was the quarterback with the most passing plays of more than 30 yards in the NFL.
Trevor Lawrence of the Jacksonville Jaguars stands fifth at 9, representing an 11% implied probability. Lawrence ranks among the most heavily backed players at several sportsbooks despite having missed three games this season, though that absence remains a hurdle in a race that rewards regularity during the 17 games.
