The Green Bay Packers visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, October 4, 2026, for a Week 4 matchup where the Packers are favored while the winless Buccaneers start undrafted rookie quarterback Jalon Daniels in place of the injured Baker Mayfield.
Sunday brings a meeting at Raymond James Stadium between two teams trying to find their footing in the early weeks of the season. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET, with FOX broadcasting the game to a limited regional audience in the early timeslot. Prediction markets and sportsbooks position the visitors as favorites, reflecting both teams’ contrasting starts and a late-week quarterback shift for the home side.
Betting Markets and Odds Set Green Bay as Early Favorites
Pre-game trading on Polymarket lists a Green Bay victory at $0.64 per share, which equates to a 64 percent probability of a Packers win. Shares on Tampa Bay trade at $0.36 each, representing a 36 percent chance for the hosts. Betting lines maintained a 3.5-point spread in favor of the Packers throughout the week, while the total points line settled at 38.5 according to game previews.
Rookie Quarterback Jalon Daniels Replaces Injured Baker Mayfield
The Buccaneers enter the contest mired in an 0-3 start and facing a significant personnel hurdle under center. Beyond Mayfield’s injury, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ turnover woes and injuries headline a worst-case scenario for the team. The Buccaneers boast a defensive line with Vita Vea and David Walker. Meanwhile, the Packers have already ruled out left guard Aaron Banks and right guard Jacob Monk for Week 4, while center/guard Jager Burton is questionable, alongside defensive tackles Warren Brinson and Anthony Campbell.
During the preseason, Daniels completed 27 of 44 passes for 239 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions, while also rushing for 37 yards and a touchdown as noted in pre-game analysis.
“It’s a switch up, man, especially from being up here.”
Javon Bullard, slot defender
Slot defender Javon Bullard noted the physical demands of playing in Florida heat, explaining the adjustment required for visiting players when wind and stamina drop. To cover up mistakes in building their offensive line, the Packers signed veteran guards Laken Tomlinson and Kevin Zeitler this week.
Packers Search for an Offensive Identity and Ground Game
Green Bay travels to Florida holding a 1-2 record, sitting in last place in the NFC North behind the 3-0 Minnesota Vikings, 2-1 Detroit Lions, and 2-1 Chicago Bears, and most recently coming off a 35-14 loss to the Atlanta Falcons on Thursday. Head coach Matt LaFleur said the offense must establish balance.
“I think that’s one of the things whether you’re a running back, quarterback, D-lineman, you’ve got to allow guys to get into a rhythm, and, certainly, if you run the ball nine times, it’s hard for them to do that. … Not every run has to be an explosive gain. Sometimes, you’ve just got to go hit it and get 3 yards, and it’s 3 yards and a cloud of dust just to stay on schedule and set yourself up for some more manageable third downs.”
Matt LaFleur, head coach
The ground game faces a stern test against a Tampa Bay front anchored by defensive lineman Vita Vea. Describing the challenge posed by Vea, new right guard Kevin Zeitler remarked, You don’t have that many humans that big that can move and throw people around like that.
Packers-Buccaneers Broadcast Reaches Select Regional Markets
Because FOX features competing early-window matchups including Rams-Eagles, Cowboys-Texans, and Bears-Jets, the Packers-Buccaneers broadcast reaches only select regional markets such as Green Bay, Detroit, and Tampa.
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