It took a long time, but now Florian Wirtz seems to have finally arrived at his new club and in the Premier League. The exceptional talent was directly involved in a Liverpool goal in each of the last two PL games, and even scored his first goal in the LFC jersey in the narrow 2-1 win against bottom side Wolverhampton and is therefore one of the guarantors for that Noticeable improvement in form for the Reds.
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Including the Champions League, the reigning English champions have four wins in a row. The slot eleven was able to work its way up to fourth place in the rankings. Although there is still plenty of room for improvement in terms of performance, there is much to suggest that a tip on the men from the Beatles’ city in the game between Liverpool and Leeds will pay off.
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Nevertheless, the guests from West Yorkshire should by no means be underestimated. After initial difficulties and an interim negative series, the German coach Daniel Farke’s team has been extremely consistent in the last few weeks. The Peacocks have not lost any of the last five PL matches. With Chelsea (3:1) and Crystal Palace (4:1), two more highly rated opponents were brilliantly put in their place during this period. 16th place with a seven point cushion over the first relegation spot is absolutely impressive for the promoted team.
However, the positive mood among the Whites must be put into perspective as just five of the 20 points they collected can be attributed to guest appearances. Leeds United have not won away from home in the English top flight since September 20th. That’s exactly why I’m refraining from predicting a surprise coup by the outsider between Liverpool and Leeds.
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Liverpool – Leeds Odds | 3 top tips
What I definitely trust the northern English team to do is score a goal at Anfield Road. Why? Because that On the one hand, the newly promoted team was able to celebrate at least one goal in eight league games in a row. On the other hand, due to the fact that a whopping twelve goals (!) were scored in the last five matches in the English upper house.
Up to ninth place there are only three other clubs who have scored (slightly) more goals than the Whites, who are not hiding in the face of confidence and the still shaky LFC defense.
The Reds have already conceded a total of 26 goals and are also – behind Manchester United – the team from the top half of the table that has the highest percentage of “BTTS” games, i.e. matches where both teams score goals (61%). As a logical consequence, before the duel between Liverpool and Leeds, the odds of “Both to score” will find space on my betting slip. At ODDSET you can find a top value of 1.73, which also meets the conditions for the rollover of the ODDSET deposit bonus.
Statistics highlights for Liverpool vs Leeds
Liverpool – Leeds Direct comparison / H2H balance
Am The first leg of these teams took place on St. Nicholas Day. Thanks to a brace from Hugo Ekitike immediately after half-time, it initially looked like the Reds would be the favorites to win, but after the interim equalizer made it 2-2 and the LFC took the lead again, it was left to Ao Tanaka to make the final score 3-3 in the sixth minute of added time. Over the 90 minutes, the opponents created six (!) big chances and achieved an xG of almost 3.50.
These fresh impressions from a good three weeks ago also underline my approach of primarily focusing on the betting odds on over goals in the match between Liverpool and Leeds. The isolated over 2.5 still returns a 1.65 in the Betano app and is therefore absolutely playable in my opinion – even without a €20 Betano free bet.
4-2-3-1
Expected lineup
GOALS 5
ASSISTS13
4-2-3-1
Expected lineup
Expected lineup
4-3-3
4-3-3
Expected lineup
| 14Federico Chiesa |
| 18Cody Agat |
| 25Giorgi Mamardashvili |
| 26Andrew Robertson |
| 42Trey Nyoni |
| 47Calvin Ramsay |
| 73Ngumoha River |
| 92Wellity Lucky |
| 30Jeremie Frimpong |
| 10Joel Piroe |
| 14Lukas Finish |
| 20Jack Harrison |
| 23Sebastiaan Bornauw |
| 24James Justin |
| 26Karl Darlow |
| 29Wilfried Gnonto |
| 44Ilia Gruev |
Betting base forecast & Liverpool – Leeds Tipp
On the first day of the new year, Liverpool FC is challenged in the Premier League. However, the opening games of the year have not been particularly good for the Reds in the recent past. In the last eleven years, the first match has only been victorious in three cases. The likelihood that this rate will be brushed up a bit on Thursday is high.
At home against newly promoted Leeds United, the strengthened slot team is considered the clear favorite. Maybe even a little too clear when you consider that the Whites are unbeaten in five PL matches in a row and were able to steal a point from the reigning champions at home on St. Nicholas Day (3:3).
Opta Facts – Liverpool vs. Leeds Tipp
- Liverpool recently won 4 competitive games in a row
- Leeds have scored at least once in 8 PL games in a row
- The first leg on December 6, 2025 ended in a 3-3 draw
Given that the Peacocks are weaker away from home and that Liverpool have also improved their own form in a positive way, my tendency is more towards overgoals or goals scored by both teams. The latter approach is rated even better, which is why I ultimately opted for it before the duel between Liverpool and Leeds Tap on “hit both” decided. The 1.73 from the ODDSET app is worth five units for me.
Liverpool vs. Leeds – best odds Premier League
Fulham Liverpool FC
Odds are subject to change. Last updated 02.01.2026 01:42
