NFL Playoffs 2025: Team Qualification Odds & Projections

NFL Playoffs 2025: Team Qualification Odds & Projections

Jan 17, 2022; Inglewood, California, USA; A NFC Wild Card playoff logo at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The sprint is on more than ever in this final stretch of the regular season. In line of sight? The 2025 NFL playoffs which will crown, at the end of Super Bowl LX, the champion of this 2025 season. But before dreaming of the Super Bowl, it is already necessary to qualify for these 2025 NFL playoffs.

Qualifying for the playoffs

For those new to the world of the NFL, a quick reminder of the qualification method. To play the NFL playoffs, there are two possibilities which qualify a total of 7 teams per conference. The first, and probably the most easily understandable, is to win your division. Whatever your record, if you are division champions, you will benefit from one of the top 4 seeds and you will have the advantage of receiving the first playoff match.

If you fail to be champions, all hopes of reaching the NFL playoffs are not lost! The team must then be one of the three best records in its conference among non-division champion teams. Thus, the team will qualify via the “wild card” system and will be able to participate in the final table.

While the 14th week has just ended, what are the chances of qualifying for each team for the NFL playoffs. And what odds can you benefit from for your NFL predictions?

The probabilities and odds “qualifying for the 2025 NFL playoffs”

Here are the updated odds and NFL playoff qualification probabilities for each franchise

Team Playoff probability Odds (Betclic)
Los Angeles Rams > 99% —–
Denver Broncos > 99% —–
New England Patriots > 99% —–
Buffalo Bills 98% —–
Seattle Seahawks 98% 1.01
Green Bay Packers 95% 1.03
Houston Texans 92% 1.05
Philadelphia Eagles 93% 1.06
San Francisco 49ers 94% 1.06
Los Angeles Chargers 79% 1.27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 70% 1.30
Chicago Bears 70% 1.48
Pittsburgh Steelers 70% 1.65
Detroit Lions 40% 1.87
Baltimore Ravens 27% 2.50
Carolina Panthers 30% 3.25
Indianapolis Colts 24% 4.50
Kansas City Chiefs 10% 5.50
Dallas Cowboys 10% 6.50
Cincinnati Bengals 3% 13
Miami Dolphins 60
Minnesota Vikings 100
The probabilities of qualifying for the playoffs are calculated according to the Playoffs Simulator de TheAthletic

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Which teams are qualified and eliminated for the 2025 NFL playoffs?

Qualified teams

At the end of week 14 of competition, no team has yet officially validated its ticket for the 2025 NFL playoffs. However, the first qualifications should take place next week.

The eliminated teams

At the end of this NFL week 14, nine teams are already out of the race for the NFL playoffs. Here is the complete list:

  • New York Giants (2-11)
  • Tennessee Titans (2-11)
  • Las Vegas Raiders (2-11)
  • Cleveland Browns (3-10)
  • New York Jets (3-10)
  • Washington Commanders (3-10)
  • New Orleans Saints (3-10)
  • Arizona Cardinals (3-10)
  • Atlanta Falcons (4-9)

Eliminated teams which can now concentrate on the next 2026 NFL draft and the next NFL season.

Crédit photo: © Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Marcus Cole

Marcus Cole is a senior football analyst at Archysport with over a decade of experience covering the NFL, college football, and international football leagues. A former NCAA Division I player turned journalist, Marcus brings an insider's understanding of the game to every breakdown. His work focuses on tactical analysis, draft evaluations, and in-depth game previews. When he's not breaking down film, Marcus covers the intersection of football culture and the communities it shapes across America.

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