While Galatasaray was dreaming of being in the top 8 at the end of the 4th week of the Champions League, calculations for the top 24 started to be made at the end of the 6th week. However, the 9 points collected by the yellow-reds in the first 4 weeks may be enough to participate in the playoffs.
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Galatasaray, which reached 9 points by winning Liverpool, Bodo/Glimt and Ajax matches consecutively after its 5-1 first week defeat against Frankfurt, lost 1-0 in the Union SG and Monaco matches in the last month, when its rotation was very narrow due to injuries. Galatasaray has 9 points and 0 goal difference after 6 weeks, and its rivals in the last 2 weeks are Atletico Madrid and Manchester City.
9 POINTS MAY BE ENOUGH
It is also possible that 9 points will be enough for the yellow-reds, for whom every goal they score and every point they get is critical to be positioned in the top 24. Even if Galatasaray gets a total of 1 point from the Atletico and City matches, the probability of elimination will be close to zero. If Galatasaray stays at 9 points, they will turn their attention to their rivals’ matches. We have compiled the situation of the opponents in the league table and their opponents in the last 2 weeks.
In order for Galatasaray to bid farewell to the Champions League, at least 7 of the 15 teams below it in the rankings must beat Galatasaray.
GALATASARAY (18th) — 9 POINTS, GOAL: 0
Remaining 2 matches: Atletico Madrid, Manchester City (D)
The yellow-reds will be very close to qualifying for the playoffs even if they get 1 point in the last 2 matches. Even if 0 points are obtained from 2 matches, it is very important by what margin Galatasaray loses the matches.
MANACO (19.) — 9 PUAN, AVERAJ: -1
Remaining 2 matches: Real Madrid (D), Juventus
Monaco, which increased its points to 9 by defeating our representative Galatasaray 1-0 on Tuesday, is 1 place behind the yellow-reds with a difference of 1 goal difference. Monaco can beat our representative on goal difference even if they leave the last 2 weeks with 0 points. Every goal conceded and scored is very important.
LEVERKUSEN (20.) — 9 PUAN, AVERAGE: -2
Kalan 2 match: Olympiakos (D), Villareal
Leverkusen made us forget its poor performance in the first 3 weeks with the 7 points it collected in the last 3 weeks. If Leverkusen gets 1 point in 2 matches, they will pass Galatasaray.
PSV (21.) — 8 PUAN, AVERAGE: 4
Remaining 2 matches: Newcastle (D), Bayern Munich
If PSV gets a total of 1 point from the last 2 matches, they will be ahead of Galatasaray on goal difference.
KARABAKH (22nd) — 7 POINTS, GOAL: -3
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Remaining 2 matches: E. Frankfurt, Liverpool (D)
Karabakh needs at least 2 points to get past Galatasaray, but then goal difference calculations will come into play. The Azerbaijani representative will leave Galatasaray behind if they reach 3 points.
NAPOLİ (23.) — 7 PUAN, AVERAJ: -5
Remaining 2 matches: Copenhagen (D), Chelsea
Napoli needs at least 2 points. Even if they get 2 points, Galatasaray will finish the league stage above Napoli if they do not concede a total of 5 points in 2 matches. 1 win out of 2 matches will be enough for Napoli.
COPENHAGEN (24th) — 7 POINTS, GOAL: -6
Remaining 2 matches: Napoli, Barcelona (D)
Copenhagen needs at least 2 points. However, if they do not get any wins in the last 2 matches, they will expect the yellow-reds to have a total difference of 6 or more in the last 2 weeks. The 3 points they get will mean beating Galatasaray for them.
BENFICA (25th) — 6 POINTS, GOAL: -2
Remaining 2 matches: Juventus (D), Real Madrid
Benfica has to leave the last 2 matches with 3 or more points to pass Galatasaray. One win would mean surpassing the yellow-reds.
PAFOS (26.) — 6 PUAN, AVERAGE: -5
Kalan 2 match: Chelsea (D), Slavia Prague
Pafos, which exceeded expectations with 5 points, has to get at least 3 points in its last 2 matches. Pafos, which has no possibility of passing Galatasaray without a win, will definitely pass Galatasaray if it gets 4 points.
UNION SG (27.) — 6 PUAN, AVERAJ: -8
Remaining 2 matches: Bayern Munich (D), Atalanta
Even if Union SG gets 3 points in the last 2 matches, they will need to beat Galatasaray with different results in the last 2 weeks unless they improve their goal difference. Union will surpass the yellow-reds if they get 4 points.
ATHLETIC BILBAO (28th) — 5 PUAN, AVERAGE: -5
Remaining 2 matches: Atalanta (D), Sporting
Athletic Bilbao must collect at least 4 points in the last 2 matches. If they win the match by 1 difference, they will expect Galatasaray to leave the last 2 weeks with at least a -4 goal difference. 6 points will be enough for them to take the lead.
OLYMPIAKOS (29th) — 5 POINTS, GOAL: -7
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Remaining 2 matches: Leverkusen, Ajax (D)
Olympiacos has to collect at least 4 points in the last 2 matches. If they win the match by 1 difference, they will expect Galatasaray to leave the last 2 weeks with at least -6 average. 6 points will be enough for them to advance to the next round.
E. FRANKFURT (30.) — 4 PUAN, AVERAJ: -8
Remaining 2 matches: Qarabağ (D), Tottenham
Frankfurt needs to win the last 2 matches to pass Galatasaray. 6 points is definitely enough.
CLUB BRUGE (31.) — 4 PUAN, AVERAGE: -8
Remaining 2 matches: Kairat Almaty (D), Marseille
The way for Brugge to beat Galatasaray is to win the remaining 2 matches.
BODO/GLIMT (32.) — 3 PUAN, AVERAGE: -4
Remaining 2 matches: Man. City, Atletico Madrid (D)
If Bodo wins its remaining 2 matches, it can surpass Galatasaray on goal difference. If they get +3 average in the 2 matches they win, they will be ahead of Galatasaray.
Slavia Prague will pass Galatasaray if they collect 6 points from 2 matches and have a +8 average. If Ajax collects 6 points from the last 2 matches and achieves a +12 average, they will pass Galatasaray.
(Calculations were made based on the scenario in which Galatasaray remained at 9 points.)
