data has changed the way we look at football over the past few years. More and more players, coaches, teams and clubs are looking for high percentage closing opportunitieswich promise as many expected goals as possible. The principle is also known to the two clubs from our Chelsea vs. Aston Villa tip.
Long-range shots are among the attempts that promise relatively few goals. The volume of this shot species has decreased accordingly. Only 7.8 shots are fired from outside the box per game in the English top flight – the lowest figure since the 2003/2004 season. Nevertheless, long-range shots are an important topic in our Chelsea vs Aston Villa forecast.
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Table of contents
Between Christmas and New Year, the bookmakers in their betting apps are faced with the task of providing Chelsea – Aston Villa betting odds for the Game between two top four teams to award. It’s not an easy challenge and yet the clear advantage the Blues get in their own stadium is surprising.
A threesome for Enzo Maresca and his team often achieves Chelsea vs. Aston Villa odds of under 1.90. Wait a minute: When it comes to the Blues’ opponent, aren’t we talking about the hottest Premier League team? The Villans have recently won eleven out of twelve matches in the top English league and, among others, defeated Arsenal (2:1).
Chelsea – Aston Villa odds | 3 top tips
unai Emery and his team are the most positive example of the current PL season. After five match days, the entire Emery construct was in question – now the Villans are considered title candidates. There are only seven points between fourth-placed Chelsea (29) and Bournemouth (22) in 15th place. These two places have never been so close together at Christmas time.
The Blues (29) are seven points behind Aston Villa (36) – the strongest team in the English upper house. The offense in particular has shone recently and was at least twice in six out of seven games. We play odds of 2.75 in the Betano app and select “Aston Villa over 1.5 goals”.
Statistics highlights for 
Chelsea beat Aston Villa
Chelsea – Aston Villa direct comparison / H2H balance
The balance of the three previous meetings is balanced. Both teams won their home games last season. The two clubs also shared the points (2:2) on matchday 35 of the 2023/2024 season at Villa Park.
At the moment, every team on the island has to be careful of the momentum of the guests. The Villans have scored twice in four consecutive league games – During this period, the Emery team faced off three times with a club that was ranked in the top six at the time of the match.
4-2-3-1
Expected lineup
GOALS 5
ASSISTS13
4-2-3-1
Expected lineup
Expected lineup
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
Expected lineup
| 4Tosin Adarabioyo |
| 5Benoît Badiashile |
| 9Liam Delap |
| 12Philip Jorgensen |
| 17Andrey Santos |
| 21jorrel hato |
| 27Malo want |
| 34Josh Acheampong |
| 41Estevao |
| 10Emiliano Buendia |
| 12Lucas Digne |
| 16Andres Garcia |
| 17Donyell Malen |
| 19jadon Sancho |
| 26Lamare Bogarde |
| 40Marco Bizot |
| 53George Hemmings |
| 56Leon Routh |
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Betting base forecast & Chelsea – Aston Villa Tipp
At the beginning of this preview we mentioned the long range shots. Volume remains low, but there is a massive increase in efficiency. 14.8 percent of goals This season have been scored by a long-range shot – that corresponds to a value of 0.42 goals per game and is the highest value in over a decade.
What is particularly striking is the enormous effectiveness. Shots from outside the penalty area hit the net at a rate of 5.4 percent this season – the highest rate measured so far over an entire season is far lower (4.5 percent). At this point it follows direct reference to the Chelsea vs aston Villa tip.
Football is of course also played at Christmas and between the years. Above all, things are really happening on the island! In addition to tips and forecasts, the “Biedfüßig” experts have also included a lot of news, statistics and trends in the analysis. There are forecasts and predictions for the Africa Cup, as well as football from England, Italy and Belgium. (Source: YouTube / Betting Basis)
Opta Facts – chelsea vs. Aston Villa Tipp
- Aston Villa have scored 11 goals in their last 4 Premier League games
- Chelsea allow 0.13 expected goals conceded per shot
- Chelsea have conceded at least 2.3 expected goals in 2 of their last 4 Premier League games
the guests stand out in this category. They are in third place Villans have converted more long-range shots than any other team this season (10). However, against the Blues it could also work from inside the penalty area.
chelsea allow 0.13 expected goals conceded per opponent – one of the highest values on the British Isles.Most recently, the Maresca team has conceded at least 1.0 expected goals in four consecutive matches.Two of these four pairings even ended with at least 2.3 expected goals conceded for the Blues.
chelsea vs. Aston Villa – beste Quoten Premier League
Chelsea FC Aston Villa
odds are subject to change. Last updated 26.12.2025 21:30
