Both Belgium and the Netherlands have punched thier tickets to the 2026 World Cup, earning top seeds for the group stage draw. However, according to analyst Jan Mulder, expectations for both “Low Countries” should be kept in check.
Belgium secured their spot in their seventh consecutive major tournament on Tuesday evening, completing their qualification campaign undefeated. This impressive streak extends their unbeaten run in preliminary rounds for European Championships and World Cups to a decade. Despite the flawless record, the recent qualifying campaign wasn’t exactly a dominant performance. Belgium dropped points three times in eight matches, more than any other group winner in the European qualifiers. Considering the relatively modest quality of their group, dropping points against North Macedonia and Kazakhstan raises concerns for a team with World Cup aspirations.
Simultaneously occurring, the Netherlands, quarter-finalists in the 2022 World Cup, will also be heading to the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The Dutch secured their qualification with a strong 20 out of a possible 24 points, topping a group that included Poland and Finland. They boasted an impressive 27 goals scored while conceding only 4. For comparison, Belgium scored 29 goals but conceded 7, and had a weaker goal difference in what was considered an easier group.
Though, the Dutch performance wasn’t without its blemishes. While the results were solid, the teamS play was ofen described as substandard. They struggled to impose their dominance against opponents who were theoretically outmatched on paper, leading to increasing questions about key players within the squad.
Early Exit predicted by Analyst
Veteran analyst jan Mulder holds a pessimistic view for both Belgium and the Netherlands heading into the next World Cup. In a recent column for VI, he cynically predicted an early exit for both nations.Mulder stated, In America, Belgium and the Netherlands will not survive the group stage. After positioning themselves worse than ever in a grueling first World Cup week,Frenkie,Amadou and friends will promptly have to go on holiday to Ibiza.
while Mulder’s comments are likely intended to manage expectations, the reality of both teams exiting the group stage is statistically improbable. Their status as top seeds guarantees they will avoid the absolute elite teams in the initial group phase. Furthermore, the expansion of the tournament to 48 teams will undoubtedly dilute the overall quality of opposition. Adding to this, the format allows for the eight best third-placed teams from the twelve groups to advance to the knockout rounds, providing an additional pathway for progression.