It left for a crazy Champions League season. While the first meetings of the C1 league phase will start on September 16, Opta has just delivered its first predictions for the final classification. As a reminder, out of the 36 teams committed, only 8 will access the knockout stages directly, while the next 16s will have to go through dams.
And the statistician will not satisfy everyone, since he places Olympique de Marseille among the first eliminated, in 31st position. According to forecasts, the Olympians will fail from the league phase by obtaining only 8 points, with all the same 37.74 % to appear among barragists and 4.06 % of reaching the knockout stages directly.
A very complicated position for the men of Roberto de Zerbi, since even the Union Saint-Gilloise, Copenhagen or Pafos, the little Cypriot Poucet of the competition, could be ahead of them.
21.74 % chance of returning to the final for Paris
The fate reserved by OPTA for AS Monaco appears to be happier. The Data Analyst sees the rock club access the dams, with a 21st place obtained after its eight games, despite Manchester City, Real Madrid or even Juventus as opponents. The men of Adi Hütter even hold 11.05 % chance of concluding in the Top 8.
Monaco and Marseille observe, on the other hand, only one and the same fatality: they will not go to the final unless they beat the few tenths of percentage of luck to get there granted by OPTA (0.95 % for ASM, 0.44 % for OM).
Finally, the Grail returns to PSG, which, despite its complicated draw, is awarded a beautiful fifth place by the statistician, in front of FC Barcelona, Real Madrid or Inter Milan and behind Chelsea, Manchester City, Arsenal and finally Liverpool.
The capital’s club even has 21.74 % chance of being on the lawn of the Puskas Arena de Budapest (Hungary) on May 30, 2026 to compete in the Champions League final. This is the third stable best placed to access it, behind Arsenal (28.21 %) and Liverpool (34.23 %).
OPTA predictions last season/reality:
PSG. Prediction: 9th/reality of the classification: 15th
AS Monaco. Prediction: 19th/reality of the classification: 17th
LOSC. Prediction: 25th/reality of the classification: 7th
Brest : Prediction: 32nd/reality of the classification: 18th
