PSG Club World Cup Odds: OPTA Update

Previously seen as the big favorite of the Club World Cup by the OPTA Statistics Institute, PSG has now been in this case recently, despite its qualification. It was Chelsea who pissed him off this honorary status.

In the wake of its title of European champion, PSG was logically seen as the big favorite of the Club World Cup which started two weeks later. All statistics were in favor of Parisians, irresistible for weeks, and the Super calculator of the Opta Institute logically made it the team that is the most likely to go to the end. A status still confirmed before the knockout stages despite the unexpected defeat conceded against Botafogo during the second group match (0-1).

The PSG journey will play against him

Since then, PSG has been walking in the round of 16 against Inter Miami (4-0) while several big names have been eliminated (Manchester City, Inter Milan, Juventus Turin), but the big favorite of the competition is no longer PSG according to the same OPTA super calculator! It is now Chelsea who, with 26.8% chance of winning, now dominates Paris who has 24.9% chance of going to the end of the competition. Before the eighth finals, PSG had 20.6% of final victory, against 10.4% for Chelsea.

The reason for this change is very simple as Opta explains: City’s eliminations and Inter largely released the table part in which the blues appear while Paris has a real obstacle course which awaits them with Bayern Munich in the quarter-finals and possibly Real Madrid in the semi-finals. Meanwhile, Chelsea will face the Palmeiras surprise then the winner of Al-Hilal/Fluminense. And even if the surprises have been numerous in the competition, non-European clubs are always seen as less efficient than the big names of the old continent.

For bookmakers, PSG is still the favorite

Note that bookmakers, which are also strongly based on statistics, do not, on the other hand, share this analysis of the super calculator of the Statistics Institute at all. A passage on some of them always gives the same trio of favorites: PSG in n ° 1 (rating at 3.40), Real Madrid in n ° 2 of little (3.70) then Chelsea (4.90). The future opponent of PSG, Bayern Munich, is only fourth with a beautiful gap (6.90).

Unexpectedly, the team seen as the least likely to win the competition is … Borussia Dortmund (20) when Opta calculations rather place the Fluminense of Thiago Silva as the team that is the least likely to go to the end.