Red Devils’ Nations League Path: Scenarios for Belgium to Reach the Quarter-Finals and Euro 2028

Belgium currently sits in third place in Group 1 of the Nations League A-division following a 4-1 defeat against France, a result that complicates the team’s path to the tournament’s final stages. Belgium holds a goal difference of +1, while France maintains +5 and Italy +3.

Stakes for the November Campaign

The international window in November represents a critical juncture for Belgium, with matches scheduled against Turkey on November 12 and Italy on November 15. The team must secure points in these fixtures to contend for a top-two finish, which is necessary to advance to the Nations League quarterfinals. According to VoetbalPrimeur.be, the top two teams from each group will progress to the knockout phase, with the winners of those two-legged ties advancing to the Final Four in June 2027.

Red Devils' Nations League Path: Scenarios for Belgium to Reach the Quarter-Finals and Euro 2028
Photo: Sporza

Implications for Euro 2028 Qualification

Beyond the immediate Nations League standings, performance in this tournament serves as a potential safety net for Euro 2028 qualification. While the primary route to the European Championship remains the standard qualifying campaign—where the twelve group winners and eight best runners-up secure direct spots—the Nations League offers a secondary path. Securing a group win could provide a vital lifeline to the play-offs if the team fails to qualify through the standard group stage, with priority given to the highest-ranked available group winners.

Belgium Avoids Direct Relegation but Faces Third Place

The struggle to avoid the bottom of the table remains a factor, though Belgium’s current point total makes direct relegation to the B-division unlikely. While the team remains mathematically in contention for the quarterfinals, a loss to Italy in November would confirm a third-place finish, effectively ending their run in this edition of the Nations League. Finishing third does not necessarily mean entering relegation play-offs; the two best-ranked third-place teams retain their A-division status. Currently, Belgium performs better than Germany, which has five points, and Wales and Croatia, both sitting on three points.

Performance Context

Belgium’s campaign began with a victory over Italy, followed by a loss to France in Brussels and a 3-0 win against Turkey. The recent 4-1 defeat in France, however, shifted the dynamics of the group. As noted by VoetbalPrimeur.be, the Red Devils hold a goal difference of +1, while France leads with +5 and Italy maintains +3. With two matches remaining, the team is tasked with reversing this trend to secure a quarterfinal spot.

Next Scheduled Fixtures

The Red Devils are set to travel to Turkey on November 12, followed by a final home match against Italy on November 15. These two encounters will determine whether Belgium advances to the quarterfinals, retains a position in the A-division, or faces potential play-off scenarios for the next major tournament cycle.

Red Devils' Nations League Path: Scenarios for Belgium to Reach the Quarter-Finals and Euro 2028
Photo: VoetbalPrimeur.be

Editor-in-Chief

Editor-in-Chief

Daniel Richardson is the Editor-in-Chief of Archysport, where he leads the editorial team and oversees all published content across nine sport verticals. With over 15 years in sports journalism, Daniel has reported from the FIFA World Cup, the Olympic Games, NFL Super Bowls, NBA Finals, and Grand Slam tennis tournaments. He previously served as Senior Sports Editor at Reuters and holds a Master's degree in Journalism from Columbia University. Recognized by the Sports Journalists' Association for excellence in reporting, Daniel is a member of the International Sports Press Association (AIPS). His editorial philosophy centers on accuracy, depth, and fair coverage — ensuring every story published on Archysport meets the highest standards of sports journalism.

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