Final M1000 Miami – Daniil Medvedev favorite, Jannik Sinner wants to confirm his success against Carlos Alcaraz

The context

This is a promising poster. On the left of the ring, Jannik Sinner. At 21, the current 11th in the world in the ATP rankings can win the biggest title of his career, he who has won 7 trophies since his professional debut, but at best an ATP 500, which seems not to be enough for someone who aims for the heights in the medium term. As he prepares to return to the Top 10 on Monday (9th if defeated, 6th if won), the Transalpine is reaching the peak of his confidence in this first part of the 2023 exercise. After a very solid week, where his service has worked wonders, he defeated his now best enemy, Carlos Alcaraz, in the semi-finals after a match of rare intensity. A feat of arms not to be overlooked. “This is probably the biggest hit of my career“, he admitted afterwards.

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To the right of the ring: Daniil Medvedev. Stung by his premature exit from the road at the Australian Open, the former world No. 1 has regained his luster since February. What followed was an explosion: 24 successes (including one by forfeit), for a single defeat, against this devil of Carlos Alcaraz in the final at Indian Wells, in five tournaments. In Miami, Medvedev was not too shaken. We must admit that he had a fairly favorable picture. Only Karen Khachanov, in great form in Florida, put him in difficulty but without going so far as to be a threat for victory. Since February, he has lost only eight sets in all and for all and his game is doing damage. The circuit found the boss Medvedev who had disappeared in 2022 and even the disappointment of Indian Wells did not affect his morale, still in good shape.

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The head-to-head: 5-0 Medvedev

One-sided opposition: Daniil Medvedev leads 5-0 against his opponent. The five matches are quite recent (2020-2023), but above all they have the specificity of having all been played indoors. The last confrontation dates back to the final of the ATP 500 in Rotterdam won in three sets by Medvedev (5-7, 6-2, 6-2).

An intense standoff and a 1st title in 2023: how Medvedev wrung out Sinner

The statistics to know

9 – Daniil Medvedev had never played in the final in Miami before. The tournament was the last to resist him. He therefore reached the finals of the nine biggest hard-court tournaments (Masters 1000, Masters Cup, Grand Slam).

2 – Jannik Sinner is only playing his second final in the M1000. The first was… in Miami, in 2021.

4 – Daniil Medvedev is seeking his 4th title of the season, which would allow him to distance Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic (2 titles).

1 et 2 – Jannik Sinner can become the first Italian to win the title in Miami, in any era. If successful, Daniil Medvedev would succeed Nikolay Davydenko, to date the only Russian titled in Florida (2008).

They said

Jannik Sinner

I have to find a way to win against Daniil. If not now, I hope I will have other opportunities. I feel ready to give the best of myself. Things went very well in this tournament

Sinner after his victory against Alcaraz: “This success means a lot”

Daniil Medvedev

Jannik is progressing really fast, especially this year. (…) I believe in myself. I know that I am capable of winning big titles. I know I can play well and beat anyone

Their journey

Jannik Sinner

2e round: bat Laslo Djere (6-4, 6-2)
3rd round : beat Grigor Dimitrov (6-3, 6-4)
8e : bat Andrey Rublev (6-2, 6-4)
1/4 : bat Emil Ruusuvuori (6-3, 6-1)
1/2 : beat Carlos Alcaraz (6-7, 6-4, 6-2)

Incredible: A breathtaking rally and Sinner finally overtook Alcaraz

Daniil Medvedev

2e tour: bat Roberto Carballes Baena (6-1, 6-2)
3rd round: defeats Alex Molcan (forfeit)
8e: bat Quentin Haly (6-4, 6-2)
1/4 : bat Christopher Eubanks (6-3, 7-5)
1/2 : bat Karen Khachanov (7-6, 3-6, 6-3)

Jostled but formidable efficiency, Medvedev won a half fratricide

Our prediction

On the course and the level displayed during this tournament, Jannik Sinner has the advantage of the form of the moment, he who played his best tennis, or not far, during this tournament which suits his qualities as a long-distance player well. short. Although physically exhausting, his success in the half against Carlos Alcaraz must lead him to something bigger, stronger. Sinner had lost his first Masters 1000 final here in Miami against Hubert Hurkacz, in 2021. Two years later, winning would be a great way to come full circle and give his record a first important title.

For Medvedev, the direct confrontations and his level since February make him the natural favorite for this final. Attention, if he won three titles in a row in February, he has not won a major final (Masters 1000, Masters Cup, Grand Slam) since his coronation at the US Open 2021, the latest being that of Indian Wells where he had not existed facing a burning Alcaraz. This match is therefore important for his capital of confidence, more than for his prize list. We launch ourselves: Jannik Sinner has a head of winner; seen its beautiful week. Match tied to the best of three sets with two tie-breaks.

Daniil Medvedev, Miami 2023

Credit: Getty Images

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