Bets on players’ transfers have become an integral part of football itself in the last few years. Besides the genuine interest of fans to see where their favorite players will go or which footballers their favorite clubs will register, there is also an increased interest on the part of bettors, especially as there is very high speculative activity both before the transfer window and during the transfer period.
For punters, football transfers constitute excellent opportunities to back their predictions on the movements of footballers across clubs and/or leagues and to win money by making the right guess (or better informed choice) on which clubs will manage to get specific high profile players. For this reason, betting sites in Italy and literally in other parts of Europe, have created these football specials and are offering the opportunity to bet on several different markets.
In the transfer period everything is up for grabs. Although there can be very strong speculation on a player’s, let’s say, next permanent club (after the transfer window), there is so much volatility that making accurate predictions can become very difficult, tricky and challenging.
But, bettors find it very attractive at the same time and this is why betting on football transfers is nowadays so popular. If you decide to bet on football transfers you can actually make a profit (although you should beware of the taxes applied as well), but there are some things that you need to consider if you don’t want to see your money go down the drain.
Here are the most important things regarding betting on football transfers, which can prove very helpful and enlightening at the end of the day.
Dig deeper into the players whose contracts are to expire soon
When football players have their contracts expired they become free agents and they will definitely move somewhere. But it is far more interesting and challenging to watch these players before their contracts expire, and bet on their transfer in the previous one or two windows.
Just think that their clubs will not want to let them walk away without capitalizing on them while their contracts are still on. It is very likely that these clubs will seek to cash in as opposed to leaving them go for free and so it is very likely that they will come close to making deals before the end.
So, as bettors, you can really take advantage of this and do a thorough reading on transfer speculation articles, follow journalists who have greater access to reliable information and try to obtain as much data as possible so as to make an informed choice in betting on these players’ next clubs.
Don’t get carried away by the loads of transfer rumors
Prior to the transfer periods, clubs and probably players themselves will want to generate ‘talking’ about potential movements in order to leverage popularity and public discussion. To do so, they often let rumors grow (or even start rumors) which may have nothing to do with reality. So, when there is much fuss about transfers you should double and triple check more reliable sources before you place any bets.
Consider what are the needs and requirements of clubs in going out there to recruit players
You should be very careful in making predictions on transfers, especially regarding taking new signings for filling up their roster needs. A club is most likely to pursue a player, when he fulfills the profile, the skills and the style criteria that are determined by the existing squad “culture” or the manager’s goals. So, take your time in investigating what it is that the teams need and which players’ profiles are better for satisfying these needs.
Review past relationshipsRelationships can make a big difference in transfers, particularly if you think of how football transfers work. When two clubs have a long history of buying and selling footballers, this is something to take into account in transfer periods and particularly when there are many rumors and speculations of a player’s, let’s say, movement between the two. It is only natural to think that if two clubs have strong relations, then they will have greater chances of getting or giving a player to one another, compared to other choices -all things being equal.