When the NBA resumes on July 30, there will be millions of dollars in the queue for 2020 free agents intending to go to court.
More than 150 players participating in the NBA restart are on track to reach the free agency in October, and a misstep could prove costly for a player looking for a new deal. Last month, Washington Wizards striker Davis Bertan gave up playing in the bubble so he could maximize his earning potential and avoid the risk of injury.
And it’s not just the players who hit the free agency this fall who are worried. ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski reported in June that several 2017 draft class stars who will be eligible for extension this fall, such as Boston Celtics winger Jayson Tatum and Utah Jazz guard Donovan Mitchell, spoke to the National Basketball Players Association about possible insurance payments.
But for most players – like New Orleans striker Pelicans Brandon Ingram – participating in Orlando is a risk they are willing to take. Here’s what’s at stake, the decision making process for players and teams and the 10 most interesting free agents to watch in Orlando.
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Brandon Ingram is the face of the looming challenges of free agents
With Anthony Davis likely to remain in Los Angeles, Ingram has an excellent case as the best free agent in the 2020 class, hitting the market as an All-Star under the age of 25. He will likely receive a significant increase in his current $ 7 million salary, but faces the same challenges as any free agent within the bubble, including:
In looking for a potential maximum deal, Ingram also has to deal with his limited status (giving pelicans the ability to match any offer sheet), his injury history and a relatively small stellar game champion. But he told reporters on July 6 that he never considered not showing up in Orlando to protect his body.
“I didn’t see it as if I had a choice to go or not,” said Ingram. “My teammates knew I had no doubts. I just want to play basketball at the end of the day.”
One of the reasons why Ingram was so busy playing dates back to the deep fear of venous thrombosis in his right shoulder that ended his 2018-19 season with the Los Angeles Lakers.
Ingram underwent chest outlet decompression surgery in his right arm that March, interrupting his season after a long period of effective scoring. He was swapped to New Orleans during the summer, but due to his recovery schedule, Ingram was not allowed to contact until September. This prevented the pelicans from looking at it well before the start of the season.
Ingram was heading into her fourth NBA season, which meant she was entitled to an extension of her beginner’s contract, but when the pelicans wanted to see what she looked like in action before coming to terms with a new deal, Ingram found herself a victim. of bad luck.
In the 2017 CBA deal, the league moved the deadline to agree on extensions for beginner offerings from Halloween to the day before the regular season starts. According to the old rules, New Orleans would have had four games to watch Ingram, which in that section had an average of 27.3 points, 9.5 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 1.5 blocks, achieving a percentage of goals on the field 53.4% effective.
Ingram told ESPN in December that the message the pelicans received was that they wanted to see how he had recovered before making a new contract offer.
“I couldn’t do anything but respect it,” Ingram said at the time.
Sources inside the pelicans front office claim that they see Ingram as a fundamental block for the future. Executive vice president of basketball operations David Griffin, Pelicans, told reporters on June 30 that he believes Ingram and Lonzo Ball, who are eligible for extension after the season, both want to continue in New Orleans.
“We will continue to work from that point of view because they have been very, very clear in their wishes to continue their career here,” said Griffin.
And even with millions of people at stake, Ingram insists that contractual matters don’t come to mind as the season picks up.
“This is more for after the season,” said Ingram. “This season, I was so focused on being with my teammates and just playing basketball after being off the road last year when I couldn’t finish the season. This year it was for me to go out and show where I belong and excel this new space. I think playing in this could help me. ” – Andrew Lopez
The best free agents to watch on reboot
Despite uncertainty about the league’s finances, some players are still confident of getting maximum contracts in October. Anthony Davis and Donovan Mitchell both meet these criteria. But Ingram leads a group of free agents who face many rebooting questions, which can affect their off-season value in Orlando.
Here’s a look at the 10 most intriguing free agents who are still playing, as well as what to expect in their off-season negotiations based on conversations with league insiders.
Since only six teams – Atlanta Hawks, Charlotte Hornets, Detroit Pistons, Miami Heat, New York Knicks and Phoenix Suns – are designed for maximum flexibility, there is a strong probability that most players will choose options for 2020. – 21 season. As a result, we are leaving DeMar DeRozan, Gordon Hayward, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Mike Conley off this list.
Brandon Ingram | Pelicans | Limited
Ingram may be forced to play on hold due to his limited status. Unless the pelicans engage with him at the beginning of the free agency at 18:00 ET on October 18 with a maximum deal (or close to it), Ingram may be forced to seek a bid sheet from a team such as the Knicks to force the pelicans’ hand.
One thing to watch out for is how the league projects the wage cap in 2020-21 and 2021-22. If there is a significant drop compared to the original projection of $ 115 million and pelicans play hard ball, Ingram may decide to sign its $ 9.5 million one-year qualifying offer and join the free agency without restrictions in 2021 .
Fred VanVleet | unlimited
The four-month hiatus should prove beneficial to VanVleet. At the time of the arrest, he had lost six games with a shoulder injury while he was in eighth place in the league in minutes per game (35.8).
A strong performance in Orlando combined with his show from last year’s NBA finals could lead VanVleet to double his salary by $ 9.3 million from last season. Ultimately, the size of the next VanVleet deal will depend on how much the Raptors prioritize the cap space in 2021 and whether a team like the Pistons is willing to commit significant money during a rebuild.
Montrezl Harrell | Clippers | unlimited
Harrell is sure to see an increase from his $ 6 million salary, but how much?
Removing Hawks (Clint Capela) and Heat (Bam Adebayo) from the list of suitors leaves Harrell with Charlotte, New York and his current Los Angeles team as real options. Any of those three will pay the money to start (think north of $ 16 million per year) for a player who started 25 out of 318 games and ranked 44th among all power forwards in the ESPN real defense defense. plus-minus?
Joe Harris | Networks | unlimited
Harris joins Caris LeVert as the main new scoring options for a Brooklyn team without Kyrie Irving and Spencer Dinwiddie in Orlando. In his 63 games this season, Harris has scored more than 20 points just eight times. If Brooklyn reaches the first round of the playoffs, Harris will have to increase his production.
Since the nets are financially limited with the advance of wages, Harris is a priority for reprogramming this offseason, which means that strong performance could raise the price for Brooklyn.
Bogdan Bogdanovic | King | Limited
Expect Bogdanovic to rely on his international experience when it comes to the eight seeding games in Orlando. In the 2019 FIBA World Cup, Bogdanovic scored 53% from the bottom and averaged 22.9 points in eight games. In total, the 27-year-old played in 60 games for the senior national team in Serbia.
The Kings will offer the guard an offer valid for $ 10.6 million before October 17 and will have the right to match any offer cards. But after investing $ 94 million in Buddy Hield last October and De’Aaron Fox becoming eligible for beginner extension in this offseason, how much Sacramento will he be willing to spend on his defense zone?
Bogdanovic is expected to see offers in the $ 14 to 16 million range.
DJ Augustin | Magic | unlimited
Augustin has seen his role change in Orlando, going from 81 games last season to Markelle Fultz’s backup this year. If Fultz has a solid performance in Orlando, Augustin could become expendable in the low season. But if Fultz struggles in his first post-season action, bringing Augustin back probably becomes a priority for Magic.
While he probably won’t find the same contract he signed in 2016 (four years, $ 29 million), the 32-year-old is expected to impose an annual salary of $ 5 million to $ 6 million. Orlando has a $ 124 million salary pledge for the coming season and could be pushed against the luxury tax if the line falls below the initial $ 139 million projection.
Danilo Gallinari | Thunder | unlimited
Gallinari rolled the dice when he hesitated to sign an extension that closed a heat swap proposal in February. He could have added financial security for next season, but at the expense of a team option in 2021-22.
In addition to returning to OKC (probably his best option), Gallinari will face obstacles in securing a long-term deal. Five of the six teams that are expected to have space are rebuilding or reorganizing and heat is expected to save space for the summer of 2021.
Marc Gasol and Serge Ibaka | Raptors | unlimited
If the Raptors have a deep runoff in the playoffs, they can thank the four-month hiatus that began in mid-March. At the time of the stoppage, Gasol was injured, having lost 16 games with a left knee injury and Ibaka was just returning from an absence of three games. Since then they have had a lot of time to recover.
Gasol ($ 25.6 million) and Ibaka ($ 23.7 million) will not see the same price in the free agency. However, if Toronto chooses to rebuild their list in the off-season, both players will be the best targets for teams wishing to use the mid-level exception.
Marcus Morris Sr. | Clippers | unlimited
The Clippers only received a sample of nine games from Morris before the season ended in mid-March. In the games following his trade from New York, Morris fired 38.3% from the field and 28.3% from 3, but LA recorded a plus-7.6 net score when he was on the field.
The Clippers only have non-Bird rights to Morris, but his $ 15 million contract this season allows the team to extend an agreement starting at $ 18 million. If Harrell and Morris are retained, the Clippers will likely become a luxury tax team for the first time since 2016-17. – Bobby Marks
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